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We develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing in a probability-free infinite-dimensional setup. We replace the usual assumption of a prior probability by a certain continuity property in the state variable. Probabilities enter then…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-07 Frank Riedel

We develop the HJM framework for forward rates driven by affine processes on the state space of symmetric positive matrices. In this setting we find a representation for the long-term yield and investigate the yield's asymptotic behaviour.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-24 Francesca Biagini , Alessandro Gnoatto , Maximilian Härtel

To construct a no-arbitrage defaultable bond market, we work on the state price density framework. Using the heat kernel approach (HKA for short) with the killing of a Markov process, we construct a single defaultable bond market that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-24 Yuta Inoue , Takahiro Tsuchiya

We study the pricing of European-style options written on forward contracts within function-valued infinite-dimensional affine stochastic volatility models. The dynamics of the underlying forward price curves are modeled within the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Jian He , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher

In this paper we study a family of nonlinear (conditional) expectations that can be understood as a continuous semimartingale with uncertain local characteristics. Here, the differential characteristics are prescribed by a set-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-04 David Criens , Lars Niemann

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

The Convolution and Master equations governing the time behavior of the term structure of Interest Rates are set up both for continuous variables and for their discretised forms. The notion of Seed is introduced. The discretised theoretical…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Alderweireld , Jean Nuyts

We consider a structural default model in an interconnected banking network as in Lipton [International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance, 19(6), 2016], with mutual obligations between each pair of banks. We analyse the model…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-03 Vadim Kaushansky , Alexander Lipton , Christoph Reisinger

In linear regression problems with related predictors, it is desirable to do variable selection and estimation by maintaining the hierarchical or structural relationships among predictors. In this paper we propose non-negative garrote…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Ming Yuan , V. Roshan Joseph , Hui Zou

In this article we show how to analyze the covariation of bond prices nonparametrically and robustly, staying consistent with a general no-arbitrage setting. This is, in particular, motivated by the problem of identifying the number of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Dennis Schroers

The present paper deals with the characterization of no-arbitrage properties of a continuous semimartingale. The first main result, Theorem \refMainTheoremCharNA, extends the no-arbitrage criterion by Levental and Skorohod [Ann. Appl.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Eva Strasser

We consider an optimal investment-consumption problem for a utility-maximizing investor who has access to assets with different liquidity and whose consumption rate as well as terminal wealth are subject to lower-bound constraints. Assuming…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-21 Yevhen Havrylenko

In this short paper, we study the simulation of a large system of stochastic processes subject to a common driving noise and fast mean-reverting stochastic volatilities. This model may be used to describe the firm values of a large pool of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

In industrial applications it is quite common to use stochastic volatility models driven by semi-martingale Markov volatility processes. However, in order to fit exactly market volatilities, these models are usually extended by adding a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Enrico Dall'Acqua , Riccardo Longoni , Andrea Pallavicini

We provide verification theorems (at different levels of generality) for infinite horizon stochastic control problems in continuous time for semimartingales. The control framework is given as an abstract "martingale formulation", which…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Ma. Elena Hernández-Hernández , Saul Jacka , Aleksandar Mijatović

We present two methodologies on the estimation of rating transition probabilities within Markov and non-Markov frameworks. We first estimate a continuous-time Markov chain using discrete (missing) data and derive a simpler expression for…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Marius Pfeuffer , Goncalo dos Reis , Greig smith

We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent risk measures) whose scenario sets consist of singular measures corresponding to a general form of volatility uncertainty. We derive a c\`adl\`ag nonlinear…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Marcel Nutz , H. Mete Soner

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

We use the abstract method of (local) martingale problems in order to give criteria for convergence of stochastic processes. Extending previous notions, the formulation we use is neither restricted to Markov processes (or semimartingales),…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 David Criens , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Thorsten Schmidt

Invariance times are stopping times $\tau$ such that local martingales with respect to some reduced filtration and an equivalently changed probability measure, stopped before $\tau$ , are local martingales with respect to the original model…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Stéphane Crépey