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This paper studies an optimization-based state estimation approach for discrete-time nonlinear systems under bounded process and measurement disturbances. We first introduce a full information estimator (FIE), which is given as a solution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Wuhua Hu , Lihua Xie , Keyou You

This paper introduces an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) notion for survival analysis. The ODE notion not only provides a unified modeling framework, but more importantly, also enables the development of a widely applicable, scalable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Kevin He , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Contextual MDPs are powerful tools with wide applicability in areas from biostatistics to machine learning. However, specializing them to offline datasets has been challenging due to a lack of robust, theoretically backed methods. Our work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Riddhiman Bhattacharyya , Sayak Chakrabarty , Imon Banerjee

This paper considers the problem of determining an optimal control action based on observed data. We formulate the problem assuming that the system can be modelled by a nonlinear state-space model, but where the model parameters, state and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Johannes N. Hendriks , James R. Z. Holdsworth , Adrian G. Wills , Thomas B. Schon , Brett Ninness

Nonlinear optimisation techniques are commonly employed to minimise complex cost functions, with their effectiveness determined largely by the structure of the underlying error landscape. These methods require initial parameter values, and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Tilo Strutz

Estimating the parameters of max-stable parametric models poses significant challenges, particularly when some parameters lie on the boundary of the parameter space. This situation arises when a subset of variables exhibits extreme values…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-08 Anas Mourahib , Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers

This paper presents a general framework for estimating high-dimensional conditional latent factor models via constrained nuclear norm regularization. We establish large sample properties of the estimators and provide efficient algorithms…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Qihui Chen

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimization for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. Several statistical examples and motivations are given. These procedures extend the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

In many estimation theory and statistical analysis problems, the true data model is unknown, or partially unknown. To describe the model generating the data, parameterized models of some degree are used. A question that arises is which…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Nadav E. Rosenthal , Joseph Tabrikian

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

We focus on the problem of uncertainty informed allocation of medical resources (vaccines) to heterogeneous populations for managing epidemic spread. We tackle two related questions: (1) For a compartmental ordinary differential equation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Samarth Gupta , Saurabh Amin

This work studies the properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a non-linear model with Gaussian errors and multidimensional parameter. The observations are collected in a two-stage experimental design and are dependent since…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Nancy Flournoy , Caterina May , Chiara Tommasi

In this paper, we study optimization problems where the cost function contains time-varying parameters that are unmeasurable and evolve according to linear, yet unknown, dynamics. We propose a solution that leverages control theoretic tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-20 Shivanshu Tripathi , Abed AlRahman Al Makdah , Fabio Pasqualetti

Neural Jump ODEs model the conditional expectation between observations by neural ODEs and jump at arrival of new observations. They have demonstrated effectiveness for fully data-driven online forecasting in settings with irregular and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Jakob Heiss , Florian Krach , Thorsten Schmidt , Félix B. Tambe-Ndonfack

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

This paper develops a nonparametric model that represents how sequences of outcomes and treatment choices influence one another in a dynamic manner. In this setting, we are interested in identifying the average outcome for individuals in…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-01-16 Sukjin Han

Finite element analysis (FEA) has been widely used to generate simulations of complex and nonlinear systems. Despite its strength and accuracy, the limitations of FEA can be summarized into two aspects: a) running high-fidelity FEA often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Yinan Wang , Kaiwen Wang , Wenjun Cai , Xiaowei Yue

Estimating treatment effects using observation data often relies on the assumption of no unmeasured confounders. However, unmeasured confounding variables may exist in many real-world problems. It can lead to a biased estimation without…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Namhwa Lee , Shujie Ma

This article presents a general and novel approach to the automation of goal-oriented error control in the solution of nonlinear stationary finite element variational problems. The approach is based on automated linearization to obtain the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Marie E. Rognes , Anders Logg