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We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Chris Muris , Cavit Pakel , Qichen Zhang

In this paper we discuss the numerical solution of elliptic distributed optimal control problems with state or control constraints when the control is considered in the energy norm. As in the unconstrained case we can relate the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-28 Peter Gangl , Richard Löscher , Olaf Steinbach

This article focuses on parameter estimation of multi-levels nonlinear mixed effects models (MNLMEMs). These models are used to analyze data presenting multiple hierarchical levels of grouping (cluster data, clinical trials with several…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Xavière Panhard , Adeline Samson

A general, variational approach to derive low-order reduced systems is presented. The approach is based on the concept of optimal parameterizing manifold (OPM) that substitutes the more classical notions of invariant or slow manifold when…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-18 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

We consider the problem of using experimental time-series data for parameter estimation in nonlinear ordinary differential equations, focusing on the case where the data is noisy, sparse, irregularly sampled, includes multiple experiments,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Aleksandr Talitckii , Matthew M. Peet

In regression models, predictor variables with inherent ordering, such as tumor staging ranging and ECOG performance status, are commonly seen in medical settings. Statistically, it may be difficult to determine the functional form of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Emily Roberts , Lili Zhao

In the linear minimum mean square error (LMMSE) estimation for orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) systems, the problem about the determination of the algorithm's parameters, especially those related with channel frequency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-13 Kai Mei , Jun Liu , Xiaoran Liu , Jun Xiong , Xiaoying Zhang , Jibo Wei

Personalized prediction is a machine learning approach that predicts a person's future observations based on their past labeled observations and is typically used for sequential tasks, e.g., to predict daily mood ratings. When making…

Model instability and poor prediction of long-term behavior are common problems when modeling dynamical systems using nonlinear "black-box" techniques. Direct optimization of the long-term predictions, often called simulation error…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Alexandre Megretski

This paper studies an optimal control problem governed by a semilinear elliptic equation, in which the control acts in a multiplicative or bilinear way as the reaction coefficient of the equation. We focus on the numerical discretization of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Eduardo Casas , Konstantinos Chrysafinos , Mariano Mateos

There are many models, often called unnormalized models, whose normalizing constants are not calculated in closed form. Maximum likelihood estimation is not directly applicable to unnormalized models. Score matching, contrastive divergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-27 Masatoshi Uehara , Takeru Matsuda , Fumiyasu Komaki

In many practical parameter estimation problems, prescreening and parameter selection are performed prior to estimation. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a preselected unknown deterministic parameter chosen from a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-21 Tirza Routtenberg , Lang Tong

Agent-based simulation with a synthetic population can help us compare different treatment conditions while keeping everything else constant within the same population (i.e., as digital twins). Such population-scale simulations require…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Abdulrahman A. Ahmed , M. Amin Rahimian , Mark S. Roberts

We study nonparametric estimation in dynamical systems described by ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Specifically, we focus on estimating the unknown function $f \colon \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}^d$ that governs the system dynamics…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-06 Christof Schötz

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

Motivation: Modeling biological signaling networks using ordinary differential equations (ODEs) has proven to be a powerful technique for generating insight into cellular dynamics, but it typically requires estimating rate parameters based…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2011-03-07 Tri Hieu Nim , Le Luo , Marie-Véronique Clément , Jacob K. White , Lisa Tucker-Kellogg

We present a numerical scheme for solving a parameter estimation problem for a model of low-grade glioma growth. Our goal is to estimate the spatial distribution of tumor concentration, as well as the magnitude of anisotropic tumor…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Amir Gholami , Andreas Mang , George Biros

Physics-based models often involve large systems of parametrized partial differential equations, where design parameters control various properties. However, high-fidelity simulations of such systems on large domains or with high grid…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-15 Diba Behnoudfar
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