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Evaluation of treatment effects and more general estimands is typically achieved via parametric modelling, which is unsatisfactory since model misspecification is likely. Data-adaptive model building (e.g. statistical/machine learning) is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-14 Oliver Hines , Oliver Dukes , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

This paper deals with the state estimation problem in discrete-event systems modeled with nondeterministic finite automata, partially observed via a sensor measuring unit whose measurements (reported observations) may be vitiated by a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Yuting Li , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Naiqi Wu , Zhiwu Li

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

We propose a method to detect model misspecifications in nonlinear causal additive and potentially heteroscedastic noise models. We aim to identify predictor variables for which we can infer the causal effect even in cases of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann

We propose a reduced-order modeling approach for nonlinear, parameter-dependent ordinary differential equations (ODE). Dimensionality reduction is achieved using nonlinear maps represented by autoencoders. The resulting low-dimensional ODE…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Enrico Ballini , Marco Gambarini , Alessio Fumagalli , Luca Formaggia , Anna Scotti , Paolo Zunino

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

We provide a new perspective on the study of parameterized optimization problems. Our approach combines methods for post-optimal sensitivity analysis and ordinary differential equations to quantify the uncertainty in the minimizer due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Alen Alexanderian , Joseph Hart , Mason Stevens

Parameter estimation in ordinary differential equations, although applied and refined in various fields of the quantitative sciences, is still confronted with a variety of difficulties. One major challenge is finding the global optimum of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-11 Daniel Kaschek , Jens Timmer

We consider the nonparametric estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process in a circular model from indirect observations $N_1,\ldots,N_n$. These observations emerge from hidden point process realizations with the target…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Martin Kroll

In this paper we introduce a procedure for identifying optimal methods in parametric families of numerical schemes for initial value problems in partial differential equations. The procedure maximizes accuracy by adaptively computing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Gianluca Frasca-Caccia , Pranav Singh

This paper addresses optimization problems constrained by partial differential equations with uncertain coefficients. In particular, the robust control problem and the average control problem are considered for a tracking type cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Andreas Van Barel , Stefan Vandewalle

In this paper we propose two nonlinear models for the control of anthracnose disease. The first is an ordinary differential equation (ODE) model which represents the within-host evolution of the disease. The second includes spatial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-17 David Fotsa , Elvis Houpa , David Békollé , Christopher Thron , Michel Ndoumbé

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun

In this work, a nonlinear model predictive controller is developed for a batch polymerization process. The physical model of the process is parameterized along a desired trajectory resulting in a trajectory linearized piecewise model (a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-17 Masoud Abbaszadeh , Reza Solgi

In this work, we further develop multigoal-oriented a posteriori error estimation with two objectives in mind. First, we formulate goal-oriented mesh adaptivity for multiple functionals of interest for nonlinear problems in which both the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-05 B. Endtmayer , U. Langer , T. Wick

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) have recently gained a lot of attention in machine learning. However, the theoretical aspects, e.g., identifiability and asymptotic properties of statistical estimation are still obscure. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuanyuan Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Xi Geng , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang , Dacheng Tao

The data-driven discovery of interpretable models approximating the underlying dynamics of a physical system has gained attraction in the past decade. Current approaches employ pre-specified functional forms or basis functions and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Rahul Golder , M. M. Faruque Hasan

We propose a new procedure for inference on optimal treatment regimes in the model-free setting, which does not require to specify an outcome regression model. Existing model-free estimators for optimal treatment regimes are usually not…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

We consider nonparametric estimation of cure-rate based on mixture model under Case-1 interval censoring. We show that the nonparametric maximum-likelihood estimator (NPMLE) of cure-rate is non-unique as well as inconsistent, and propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arusharka Sen , Fang Tan

In this paper we study the computation of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) in multivariate mixture models. Our first approach discretizes this infinite dimensional convex optimization problem by fixing the support…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Yangjing Zhang , Ying Cui , Bodhisattva Sen , Kim-Chuan Toh