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In this work we discuss two urn models with general weight sequences $(A,B)$ associated to them, $A=(\alpha_n)_{n\in\N}$ and $B=(\beta_m)_{m\in\N}$, generalizing two well known P\'olya-Eggenberger urn models, namely the so-called sampling…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-05-11 Markus Kuba

In this paper, we prove functional limit theorems for P\'olya urn processes whose number of draws and initial number of balls tend to infinity together. This is motivated by recent work of Borovkov [5], where they prove a functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Christopher B. C. Dean

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last century, various techniques have been developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arisina Banerjee , Arun K Kuchibhotla

We consider the generalization of the P\'olya urn scheme with possibly infinite many colors as introduced in \cite{Th-Thesis, BaTH2014, BaTh2016, BaTh2017}. For countable many colors, we prove almost sure convergence of the urn…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Svante Janson , Debleena Thacker

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

A law of large numbers and a central limit theorem are derived for linear statistics of random symmetric matrices whose on-or-above diagonal entries are independent, but neither necessarily identically distributed, nor necessarily all of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Greg Anderson , Ofer Zeitouni

In this talk we go over several new developments regarding the techniques for a large class of non-hermitian matrix models with unitary randomness (complex random numbers). In particular, we discuss: (a) - A diagrammatic approach based on a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-02-03 Romuald A. Janik , Maciej A. Nowak , Gabor Papp , Ismail Zahed

We analyze the fluctuations of incomplete $U$-statistics over a triangular array of independent random variables. We give criteria for a Central Limit Theorem (CLT, for short) to hold in the sense that we prove that an appropriately scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Matthias Löwe , Sara Terveer

Urn models have been widely studied and applied in both scientific and social science disciplines. In clinical studies, the adoption of urn models in treatment allocation schemes has been proved to be beneficial to both researchers, by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Li-Xin Zhang , Feifang Hu , Siu Hung Cheung , Wei Sum Chan

We develop a new toolbox for the analysis of the global behavior of stochastic discrete particle systems. We introduce and study the notion of the Schur generating function of a random discrete configuration. Our main result provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-01 Alexey Bufetov , Vadim Gorin

We consider triangular P\'olya urns and show under very weak conditions a general strong limit theorem of the form $X_{ni}/a_{ni}\to \mathcal{X}_i$ a.s., where $X_{ni}$ is the number of balls of colour $i$ after $n$ draws; the constants…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Svante Janson

We propose an approach to analyze the asymptotic behavior of P\'olya urns based on the contraction method. For this, a new combinatorial discrete time embedding of the evolution of the urn into random rooted trees is developed. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

Elections for public offices in democratic nations are large-scale examples of collective decision-making. As a complex system with a multitude of interactions among agents, we can anticipate that universal macroscopic patterns could emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-14 Ritam Pal , Aanjaneya Kumar , M. S. Santhanam

Consider an undirected graph G, representing a social network, where each node is blue or red, corresponding to positive or negative opinion on a topic. In the voter model, in discrete time rounds, each node picks a neighbour uniformly at…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Abhiram Manohara , Ahad N. Zehmakan

We prove two theorems related to the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) for Martin-L\"of Random (MLR) sequences. Martin-L\"of randomness attempts to capture what it means for a sequence of bits to be "truly random". By contrast, CLTs do not make…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Anton Vuerinckx , Yves Moreau

We introduce an urn model which describes spatial separation of sand. In this dynamical model, in a certain range of parameters spontaneous symmetry breaking takes place and equipartitioning of sand into two compartments is broken. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Adam Lipowski , Michel Droz

Recently, continuum Microkinetic Rate Theory (cMRT) has been advanced as a method of studying rates of systems, where deviations between observation and cMRT theory have been found, and it hypothesized that these deviations are linked…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-23 M. F. Francis

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

In this paper, we prove convergence and fluctuation results for measure-valued P\'olya processes (MVPPs, also known as P\'olya urns with infinitely-many colours). Our convergence results hold almost surely and in $L^2$, under assumptions…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Svante Janson , Cécile Mailler , Denis Villemonais

Taylor's power law (TL) or fluctuation scaling has been verified empirically for the abundances of many species, human and non-human, and in many other fields including physics, meteorology, computer science, and finance. TL asserts that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Lionel Truquet , Joel E. Cohen , Paul Doukhan