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We propose new generalized multivariate hypergeometric distributions, which extremely resemble the classical multivariate hypergeometric distributions. The proposed distributions are derived based on an urn model approach. In contrast to…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-05 Xinjia Chen

The estimation of mutation probabilities and relative fitnesses in fluctuation analysis is based on the unrealistic hypothesis that the single-cell times to division are exponentially distributed. Using the classical Luria-Delbr\"{u}ck…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Bernard Ycart

We prove a Gaussian process approximation for the sequence of random compositions of a two-color randomly reinforced urn for both the cases with the equal and unequal reinforcement means. By using the Gaussian approximation, the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang

The random vector of frequencies in a generalized urn model is viewed as conditionally independent random variables, given their sum. Such a representation is exploited to derive Edgeworth expansions for a sum of functions of such…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Sh. M. Mirakhmedov , S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Ibrahim B. Mohamed

An urn scheme is a probabilistic model in which balls are placed into urns sequentially and independently of each other. All balls share the same probability distribution for hitting the urns. In the simplest case, there is a finite number…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Berhane Abebe , Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

We study a new class of time inhomogeneous P\'olya-type urn schemes and give optimal rates of convergence for the distribution of the properly scaled number of balls of a given color to nearly the full class of generalized gamma…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Erol A. Peköz , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic models of the growth of the Web graph that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get richer''…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Mark Levene , Trevor Fenner , George Loizou , Richard Wheeldon

We consider a special case of the generalized P\'{o}lya's urn model introduced by Benaim et al (2013). Given a finite connected graph $G$, place a bin at each vertex. Two bins are called a pair if they share an edge of $G$. At discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 Jun Chen , Cyrille Lucas

Consider a number, finite or not, of urns each with fixed capacity $r$ and balls randomly distributed among them. An overflow is the number of balls that are assigned to urns that already contain $r$ balls. When $r=1$, using analytic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Raul Gouet , Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for the sequence of random compositions of a two-color randomly reinforced urn. As a consequence, we are able to show that the distribution of the urn limit composition has no point masses.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-27 G. Aletti , C. May , P. Secchi

It is known that the fluctuations of suitable linear statistics of Haar distributed elements of the compact classical groups satisfy a central limit theorem. We show that if the corresponding test functions are sufficiently smooth, a rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Christian Döbler , Michael Stolz

We propose a general method for constructing hypothesis tests and confidence sets that have finite sample guarantees without regularity conditions. We refer to such procedures as "universal." The method is very simple and is based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Larry Wasserman , Aaditya Ramdas , Sivaraman Balakrishnan

Generalized Polya urn models can describe the dynamics of finite populations of interacting genotypes. Three basic questions these models can address are: Under what conditions does a population exhibit growth? On the event of growth, at…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Michel Benaim , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Pierre Tarres

In this work we consider the \emph{infinite color urn model} associated with a bounded increment random walk on $\Zbold^d$. This model was first introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2013). We prove that the rate of convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

This study analyzes pass networks in football (soccer) using a stochastic model known as the P\'olya urn. By focusing on preferential selection, it theoretically demonstrates that the time evolution of networks can be characterized by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-19 Ken Yamamoto

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

Since its inception in 1907, the Ehrenfest urn model (EUM) has served as a test bed of key concepts of statistical mechanics. Here we employ this model to study large deviations of a time-additive quantity. We consider two continuous-time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-28 Baruch Meerson , Pini Zilber

Balls and bins models are classical probabilistic models where balls are added to bins at random according to a certain rule. The balls and bins model with feedback is a non-linear generalisation of the P\'olya urn, where the probability of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-17 Nadia Sidorova

Referring to a standard context of voting theory, and to the classic notion of voting situation, here we show that it is possible to observe any arbitrary set of elections' outcomes, no matter how paradoxical it may appear. On this purpose…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

For the most general Polya urn schemes, we establish the almost sure convergence of its composition. The only requirement is that there are always enough balls of both colors, so that the extractions can be indefinitely pursued according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Ricardo Vélez
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