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We define a Bayesian semi-parametric model to effectively conduct inference with unaligned longitudinal binary data. The proposed strategy is motivated by data from the Human Epilepsy Project (HEP), which collects seizure occurrence data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Beatrice Cantoni , Giovanni Poli , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Peter Müller

Basket trials in oncology enroll multiple patients with cancer harboring identical gene alterations and evaluate their response to targeted therapies across cancer types. Several existing methods have extended a Bayesian hierarchical model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Ryo Kitabayashi , Hiroyuki Sato , Akihiro Hirakawa

Group sequential designs enable interim analyses and potential early stopping for efficacy or futility. While these adaptations improve trial efficiency and ethical considerations, they also introduce bias into the adapted analyses. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 G. Caruso , W. F. Rosenberger , P. Mozgunov , N. Flournoy

We propose a novel empirical Bayes robust MAP (EB-rMAP) prior to adaptively leverage external/historical data. Built on Box's prior predictive p-value, the EB-rMAP prior framework balances between model parsimony and flexibility through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-09 Hongtao Zhang , Yueqi Shen , Alan Y Chiang , Judy Li

There is a growing interest in the machine learning community in developing predictive algorithms that are "interpretable by design". Towards this end, recent work proposes to make interpretable decisions by sequentially asking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Aditya Chattopadhyay , Kwan Ho Ryan Chan , Benjamin D. Haeffele , Donald Geman , René Vidal

We try to establish a unified information theoretic approach to learning and to explore some of its applications. First, we define {\em predictive information} as the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman

In hospitals, data are siloed to specific information systems that make the same information available under different modalities such as the different medical imaging exams the patient undergoes (CT scans, MRI, PET, Ultrasound, etc.) and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Tristan Sylvain , Francis Dutil , Tess Berthier , Lisa Di Jorio , Margaux Luck , Devon Hjelm , Yoshua Bengio

We develop a result on expected posteriors for Bayesians with heterogenous priors, dubbed information validates the prior (IVP). Under familiar ordering requirements, Anne expects a (Blackwell) more informative experiment to bring Bob's…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-12-29 Navin Kartik , Frances Lee , Wing Suen

External data borrowing in clinical trial designs has increased in recent years. This is accomplished in the Bayesian framework by specifying informative prior distributions. To mitigate the impact of potential inconsistency (bias) between…

Research in oncology has changed the focus from histological properties of tumors in a specific organ to a specific genomic aberration potentially shared by multiple cancer types. This motivates the basket trial, which assesses the efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jin Jin , Marie-Karelle Riviere , Xiaodong Luo , Yingwen Dong

Information integration plays a pivotal role in biomedical studies by facilitating the combination and analysis of independent datasets from multiple studies, thereby uncovering valuable insights that might otherwise remain obscured due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Chixiang Chen , Jia Liang , Elynn Chen , Ming Wang

Fast and accurate load parameters identification has great impact on the power systems operation and stability analysis. This paper proposes a novel transfer reinforcement learning based method to identify composite ZIP and induction motor…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-08 Jian Xie , Zixiao Ma , Zhaoyu Wang , Fankun Bu

Selective recruitment designs preferentially recruit individuals that are estimated to be statistically informative onto a clinical trial. Individuals that are expected to contribute less information have a lower probability of recruitment.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-31 James E. Barrett

Estimating causal effects from randomized experiments is central to clinical research. Reducing the statistical uncertainty in these analyses is an important objective for statisticians. Registries, prior trials, and health records…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-06 Alejandro Schuler , David Walsh , Diana Hall , Jon Walsh , Charles Fisher

Machine learning-aided clinical decision support has the potential to significantly improve patient care. However, existing efforts in this domain for principled quantification of uncertainty have largely been limited to applications of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 L. Julian Lechuga Lopez , Tim G. J. Rudner , Farah E. Shamout

When complex Bayesian models exhibit implausible behaviour, one solution is to assemble available information into an informative prior. Challenges arise as prior information is often only available for the observable quantity, or some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Andrew A. Manderson , Robert J. B. Goudie

The apparent dichotomy between information-processing and dynamical approaches to complexity science forces researchers to choose between two diverging sets of tools and explanations, creating conflict and often hindering scientific…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-26 Pedro A. M. Mediano , Fernando E. Rosas , Juan Carlos Farah , Murray Shanahan , Daniel Bor , Adam B. Barrett

Meta-analyses of clinical trials targeting rare events face particular challenges when the data lack adequate numbers of events for all treatment arms. Especially when the number of studies is low, standard meta-analysis methods can lead to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-20 Burak Kürsad Günhan , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

In recent years, basket trials, which allow the evaluation of an experimental therapy across multiple tumor types within a single protocol, have gained prominence in early-phase oncology development. Unlike traditional trials, which…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Haiming Zhou , Rex Shen , Sutan Wu , Philip He

Data augmentation by mixing samples, such as Mixup, has widely been used typically for classification tasks. However, this strategy is not always effective due to the gap between augmented samples for training and original samples for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-21 Takuya Shimada , Shoichiro Yamaguchi , Kohei Hayashi , Sosuke Kobayashi