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Online learning via Bayes' theorem allows new data to be continuously integrated into an agent's current beliefs. However, a naive application of Bayesian methods in non stationary environments leads to slow adaptation and results in state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Josue Nassar , Jennifer Brennan , Ben Evans , Kendall Lowrey

Clinical decision making is challenging because of pathological complexity, as well as large amounts of heterogeneous data generated as part of routine clinical care. In recent years, machine learning tools have been developed to aid this…

Understanding human behavior from observed data is critical for transparency and accountability in decision-making. Consider real-world settings such as healthcare, in which modeling a decision-maker's policy is challenging -- with no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Alihan Hüyük , Daniel Jarrett , Mihaela van der Schaar

Understanding brain disorders is crucial for accurate clinical diagnosis and treatment. Recent advances in Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) offer a promising approach to interpreting medical images with the support of text…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-03 Jing Zhang , Xiaowei Yu , Yanjun Lyu , Lu Zhang , Tong Chen , Chao Cao , Yan Zhuang , Minheng Chen , Tianming Liu , Dajiang Zhu

Domain incremental learning aims to adapt to a sequence of domains with access to only a small subset of data (i.e., memory) from previous domains. Various methods have been proposed for this problem, but it is still unclear how they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Haizhou Shi , Hao Wang

External information, such as prior information or expert opinions, can play an important role in the design, analysis and interpretation of clinical trials. However, little attention has been devoted thus far to incorporating external…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-24 Minge Xie , Regina Y. Liu , C. V. Damaraju , William H. Olson

Pre-symptomatic (or Preclinical) Alzheimer's Disease is defined by biomarker evidence of fibrillar amyloid beta pathology in the absence of clinical symptoms. Clinical trials in this early phase of disease are challenging due to the slow…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-10 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Paul S. Aisen , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

Bayesian dynamic borrowing has become an increasingly important tool for evaluating the consistency of regional treatment effects which is a key requirement for local regulatory approval of a new drug. It helps increase the precision of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xin Zhang , Hui Zhang , Satrajit Roychoudhury

We propose a novel adaptive design for clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes and covariates (which may consist of or include biomarkers). Our method is based on the expected entropy of the posterior distribution of a proportional…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-29 James E. Barrett

Bayesian inversion is central to the quantification of uncertainty within problems arising from numerous applications in science and engineering. To formulate the approach, four ingredients are required: a forward model mapping the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur

In multi-center clinical trials, due to various reasons, the individual-level data are strictly restricted to be assessed publicly. Instead, the summarized information is widely available from published results. With the advance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Jing Qin , Yukun Liu , Pengfei Li

Machine learning (ML) holds great potential for accurately forecasting treatment outcomes over time, which could ultimately enable the adoption of more individualized treatment strategies in many practical applications. However, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-08 Toon Vanderschueren , Alicia Curth , Wouter Verbeke , Mihaela van der Schaar

Mixed Integer programs (MIPs) are typically solved by the Branch-and-Bound algorithm. Recently, Learning to imitate fast approximations of the expert strong branching heuristic has gained attention due to its success in reducing the running…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-03 Sahil Manchanda , Sayan Ranu

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

The identification of influential observations is an important part of data analysis that can prevent erroneous conclusions drawn from biased estimators. However, in high dimensional data, this identification is challenging. Classical and…

Early diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) faces multiple data-related challenges, including high variability in patient data, limited access to specialized diagnostic tests, and overreliance on single-type indicators. These challenges are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-05 Yizong Xing , Dhita Putri Pratama , Yuke Wang , Yufan Zhang , Brian E. Chapman

Adaptive subgroup enrichment design is an efficient design framework that allows accelerated development for investigational treatments while also having flexibility in population selection within the course of the trial. The adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 Liwen Wu , Qing Li , Mengya Liu , Jianchang Lin

The ICH E9(R1) Addendum (International Council for Harmonization 2019) suggests treatment-policy as one of several strategies for addressing intercurrent events such as treatment withdrawal when defining an estimand. This strategy requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Suzie Cro , James H Roger , James R Carpenter

Recently proposed methods in data subset selection, that is active learning and active sampling, use Fisher information, Hessians, similarity matrices based on gradients, and gradient lengths to estimate how informative data is for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Andreas Kirsch , Yarin Gal

Basket trials test a single therapeutic treatment on several patient populations under one master protocol. A desirable adaptive design feature in these studies may be the incorporation of new baskets to an ongoing study. Limited basket…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Libby Daniells , Pavel Mozgunov , Helen Barnett , Alun Bedding , Thomas Jaki