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Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. To detect abnormal moments in these processes, a definition of `normal' must be established. This paper proposes a new…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

We address the problem of Bayesian structure learning for domains with hundreds of variables by employing non-parametric bootstrap, recursively. We propose a method that covers both model averaging and model selection in the same framework.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-14 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Guy Koren , Gal Novik

In statistical exercises where there are several candidate models, the traditional approach is to select one model using some data driven criterion and use that model for estimation, testing and other purposes, ignoring the variability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Nitai D. Mukhopadhyay

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ivan Ustyuzhaninov , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Carl Henrik Ek , Neill D. F. Campbell

We propose a robust optimization approach for constructing confidence bands for stochastic processes using a finite number of simulated sample paths. Our approach can be used to quantify uncertainty in realizations of stochastic processes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Timothy Chan , Jangwon Park , Vahid Sarhangian

Graphical models are widely used in diverse application domains to model the conditional dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. In this paper, we consider settings where the graph structure is covariate-dependent, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-24 Jiahe Lin , Yikai Zhang , George Michailidis

This paper proposes Expected Confidence Dependency (ECD), a novel, soft computing-oriented, accuracy driven dependency measure for feature selection within the rough set theory framework. Unlike traditional rough set dependency measures…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Saeed Rasouli , Hamid Karamikabir

We derive non-asymptotic confidence regions for the mean of a random vector whose coordinates have an unknown dependence structure. The random vector is supposed to be either Gaussian or to have a symmetric bounded distribution, and we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-07 Sylvain Arlot , Gilles Blanchard , Etienne Roquain

This paper develops bootstrap procedures for inference in linear regression models with two-way clustered data. We characterize the estimator's asymptotic behavior in five mutually exclusive and exhaustive regimes: three Gaussian and two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-04 Ulrich Hounyo , Jiahao Lin

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

In this dissertation we propose alternative analysis of distributed stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithms that rely on spectral properties of the data covariance. As a consequence we can relate questions pertaining to speedups and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-03 Avleen S. Bijral

In this paper we introduce a novel approach for an important problem of break detection. Specifically, we are interested in detection of an abrupt change in the covariance structure of a high-dimensional random process -- a problem, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Valeriy Avanesov , Nazar Buzun

Recently there has been much interest in data that, in statistical language, may be described as having a large crossed and severely unbalanced random effects structure. Such data sets arise for recommender engines and information retrieval…

Applications · Statistics 2007-12-18 Art B. Owen

The robustness of distributed systems is usually phrased in terms of the number of failures of certain types that they can withstand. However, these failure models are too crude to describe the different kinds of trust and expectations of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-11 Isaac C. Sheff , Robbert van Renesse , Andrew C. Myers

We propose a novel and robust online function-on-scalar regression technique via geometric median to learn associations between functional responses and scalar covariates based on massive or streaming datasets. The online estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Guanghui Cheng , Wenjuan Hu , Ruitao Lin , Chen Wang

We propose a new method to construct a stationary process and random field with a given decreasing covariance function and any one-dimensional marginal distribution. The result is a new class of stationary processes and random fields. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-24 Jeonghwa Lee

The instability in the selection of models is a major concern with data sets containing a large number of covariates. This paper deals with variable selection methodology in the case of high-dimensional problems where the response variable…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-23 Marie Walschaerts , Eve Leconte , Philippe Besse

In reinforcement learning, it is typical to use the empirically observed transitions and rewards to estimate the value of a policy via either model-based or Q-fitting approaches. Although straightforward, these techniques in general yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ilya Kostrikov , Ofir Nachum

We develop an efficient algorithm for weak recovery in a robust version of the stochastic block model. The algorithm matches the statistical guarantees of the best known algorithms for the vanilla version of the stochastic block model. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Jingqiu Ding , Tommaso d'Orsi , Rajai Nasser , David Steurer

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch