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Hawkes processes are often applied to model dependence and interaction phenomena in multivariate event data sets, such as neuronal spike trains, social interactions, and financial transactions. In the nonparametric setting, learning the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Deborah Sulem , Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We apply a wild bootstrap method to the Lancaster three-variable interaction measure in order to detect factorisation of the joint distribution on three variables forming a stationary random process, for which the existing permutation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-10 Paul K. Rubenstein , Kacper P. Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

In this paper some methods to use the empirical bootstrap approach for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) to minimize the empirical risk over a separable Hilbert space are investigated from the view point of algorithmic stability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-04 Andreas Christmann , Yunwen Lei

Stochastic Petri nets are commonly used for modeling distributed systems in order to study their performance and dependability. This paper proposes a realization of stochastic Petri nets in SystemC for modeling large embedded control…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Van Chan Ngo , Axel Legay

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

The bootstrap is a widely used procedure for statistical inference because of its simplicity and attractive statistical properties. However, the vanilla version of bootstrap is no longer feasible computationally for many modern massive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-16 Yingying Ma , Chenlei Leng , Hansheng Wang

This paper explores testing unit roots based on least absolute deviations (LAD) regression under unconditional heteroskedasticity. We first derive the asymptotic properties of the LAD estimator for a first-order autoregressive process with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-18 Jilin Wu , Ruike Wu , Zhijie Xiao

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

Dependency parsing is a crucial step towards deep language understanding and, therefore, widely demanded by numerous Natural Language Processing applications. In particular, left-to-right and top-down transition-based algorithms that rely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Daniel Fernández-González , Carlos Gómez-Rodríguez

Sociotechnological and geospatial processes exhibit time varying structure that make insight discovery challenging. This paper proposes a new statistical model for such systems, modeled as dynamic networks, to address this challenge. It…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Jace Robinson , Derek Doran

The bootstrap is a versatile inference method that has proven powerful in many statistical problems. However, when applied to modern large-scale models, it could face substantial computation demand from repeated data resampling and model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-02 Henry Lam

Heuristic-based methods are among the most popular methods in the process discovery area. This category of methods is composed of two main steps: 1) discovering a dependency graph 2) determining the split/join patterns of the dependency…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Maryam Tavakoli-Zaniani , Mohammad Reza Gholamian , S. Alireza Hashemi Golpayegani

Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power is crucial for maintaining grid stability and facilitating the efficient integration of renewable energy sources. Gaussian process (GP) models offer a principled framework for quantifying…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Domniki Ladopoulou , Dat Minh Hong , Petros Dellaportas

This paper proposes a statistical verification framework using Gaussian processes (GPs) for simulation-based verification of stochastic nonlinear systems with parametric uncertainties. Given a small number of stochastic simulations, the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Topological data analysis (TDA) approaches are becoming increasingly popular for studying the dependence patterns in multivariate time series data. In particular, various dependence patterns in brain networks may be linked to specific tasks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass El Yaagoubi Bourakna , Moo K. Chung , Hernando Ombao

Increasingly demanding performance requirements for dynamical systems motivates the adoption of nonlinear and adaptive control techniques. One challenge is the nonlinearity of the resulting closed-loop system complicates verification that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Staged trees are a relatively recent class of probabilistic graphical models that extend Bayesian networks to formally and graphically account for non-symmetric patterns of dependence. Machine learning algorithms to learn them from data…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-04 Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

We present a test for independence of two strictly stationary time series based on a bootstrap procedure for the distance covariance. Our test detects any kind of dependence between the two time series within an arbitrary maximum lag $L$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Annika Betken , Herold Dehling , Marius Kroll

In this paper, we examine the validity of non-parametric spatial bootstrap as a procedure to quantify errors in estimates of N-point correlation functions. We do this by means of a small simulation study with simple point process models and…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-05-16 Ji Meng Loh

We study the out-of-sample properties of robust empirical optimization problems with smooth $\phi$-divergence penalties and smooth concave objective functions, and develop a theory for data-driven calibration of the non-negative "robustness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-20 Jun-Ya Gotoh , Michael Jong Kim , Andrew E. B. Lim
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