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As Arctic sea ice extent decreases with increasing greenhouse gases, there is a growing interest in whether there could be a bifurcation associated with its loss, and whether there is significant hysteresis associated with that bifurcation.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-22 Kaitlin Hill , Dorian S. Abbot , Mary Silber

Sea ice cover in the Arctic and Antarctic is an important indicator of changes in the climate, with important environmental, economic and security consequences. The complexity of the spatio-temporal dynamics of sea ice makes it difficult to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-11-06 James Hogg , Maria Fonoberova , Igor Mezic

The fluctuation statistics of the observed sea ice extent during the satellite era are compared with model output from CMIP5 models using a multi-fractal time series method. The two robust features of the observations are that on annual to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-02 Sahil Agarwal , John S. Wettlaufer

Sea ice plays a critical role in the global climate system and maritime operations, making timely and accurate classification essential. However, traditional manual methods are time-consuming, costly, and have inherent biases. Automating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Samira Alkaee Taleghan , Andrew P. Barrett , Walter N. Meier , Farnoush Banaei-Kashani

Arctic sea ice is rapidly retreating due to global warming, and emerging evidence suggests that the rate of decline may have been underestimated. A key factor contributing to this underestimation is the coarse resolution of current climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Ruijian Gou , Gerrit Lohmann , Deliang Chen , Shiming Xu , Ruiqi Shu , Shaoqing Zhang , Lixin Wu

In this article, we considered the problem of sea ice cover is melting. Considering the `satellite passive microwave remote sensing data' as functional data, we studied daily observation of sea ice cover of each year as a smooth continuous…

Applications · Statistics 2016-10-25 Purba Das , Ananya Lahiri , Sourish Das

A controlling factor in the seasonal and climatological evolution of the sea ice cover is its albedo $\alpha$. Here we analyze Arctic data from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Polar Pathfinder and assess the seasonality…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Climate driven reductions in Arctic sea ice have renewed interest in trans Arctic shipping, but adoption remains limited by basic questions of route feasibility, safety and excess distance. Existing studies mostly compare idealised great…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-10 Abdella Mohamed , Xiangyu Hu

Arctic sea ice concentration is often coarsely observed and numerically computed despite its importance for polar climate system. In this work we present three machine-learning methods to recover the original high-resolution images from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-02 Jun Zhai , Cecilia M. Bitz

In an effort to understand the dynamics of the Arctic sea-ice edge, we present a simple model of heat and mass transfer in the Fram Strait that reveals some fundamental mechanisms controlling sea-ice extent in the marginal seas and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-12-21 Sahil Agarwal , M. Grae Worster

Climate science studies the structure and dynamics of Earth's climate system and seeks to understand how climate changes over time, where the data is usually stored in the format of time series, recording the climate features, geolocation,…

Arctic sea ice plays an important role in the global climate. Sea ice models governed by physical equations have been used to simulate the state of the ice including characteristics such as ice thickness, concentration, and motion. More…

For the first time we introduce an error estimator for the numerical approximation of the equations describing the dynamics of sea ice. The idea of the estimator is to identify different error contributions coming from spatial and temporal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Carolin Mehlmann , Thomas Richter

Accurate simulation of sea ice is critical for predictions of future Arctic sea ice loss, looming climate change impacts, and more. A key feature in Arctic sea ice is the formation of melt ponds. Each year melt ponds develop on the surface…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-04-13 Simon Driscoll , Alberto Carrassi , Julien Brajard , Laurent Bertino , Marc Bocquet , Einar Olason

The variation in the Arctic sea ice is dominated by the seasonal cycle with little inter-annual correlation. Though the mean sea ice area has decreased steadily in the period of satellite observations, a dramatic transition in the dynamics…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-09-20 Peter D. Ditlevsen

The physics of planetary climate features a variety of complex systems that are challenging to model as they feature turbulent flows. A key example is the heat flux from the upper ocean to the underside of sea ice which provides a key…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-16 Srikanth Toppaladoddi , Andrew J. Wells

The Arctic sea ice cover has significantly declined over the recent decades. The debate on whether this decline is caused by anthropogenic activity or internal cycles is still ongoing. However, despite this uncertainty, some physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-26 Arya Kimiaghalam

Freshwater forcing from a retreating Antarctic Ice Sheet could have a wide range of impacts on future global climate. Here, we report on multi-century (present-2250) climate simulations performed using a fully coupled numerical model…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-21 Shaina Rogstad , Alan Condron , Robert DeConto , David Pollard

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

Understanding and forecasting precipitation events in the Arctic maritime environments, such as Bear Island and Ny-{\AA}lesund, is crucial for assessing climate risk and developing early warning systems in vulnerable marine regions. This…