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We consider the problem of testing for two Gibbs probabilities $\mu_0$ and $\mu_1$ defined for a dynamical system $(\Omega,T)$. Due to the fact that in general full orbits are not observable or computable, one needs to restrict to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-16 M. Denker , A. O. Lopes , S. R. C. Lopes

The problem of simple $M-$ary hypothesis testing under a generic performance criterion that depends on arbitrary functions of error probabilities is considered. Using results from convex analysis, it is proved that an optimal decision rule…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-26 Berkan Dulek , Cuneyd Ozturk , Sinan Gezici

We consider a problem of simple hypothesis testing using a randomized test via a tunable loss function proposed by Liao \textit{et al}. In this problem, we derive results that correspond to the Neyman--Pearson lemma, the Chernoff--Stein…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Akira Kamatsuka

Hypothesis testing in high dimensional data is a notoriously difficult problem without direct access to competing models' likelihood functions. This paper argues that statistical divergences can be used to quantify the difference between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-02 Jeremy J. H. Wilkinson , Christopher G. Lester

We propose and study a general method for construction of consistent statistical tests on the basis of possibly indirect, corrupted, or partially available observations. The class of tests devised in the paper contains Neyman's smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Mikhail Langovoy

The problem of testing two simple hypotheses in a general probability space is considered. For a fixed type-I error probability, the best exponential decay rate of the type-II error probability is investigated. In regular asymptotic cases…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Marat V. Burnashev

The composite binary hypothesis testing problem within the Neyman-Pearson framework is considered. The goal is to maximize the expectation of a nonlinear function of the detection probability, integrated with respect to a given probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Yanglei Song , Berkan Dulek , Sinan Gezici

The Neyman-Pearson strategy for hypothesis testing can be employed for goodness of fit if the alternative hypothesis is selected from data by exploring a rich parametrised family of models, while controlling the impact of statistical…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-05-15 Gaia Grosso , Marco Letizia , Maurizio Pierini , Andrea Wulzer

Statistical hypothesis tests typically use prespecified sample sizes, yet data often arrive sequentially. Interim analyses invalidate classical error guarantees, while existing sequential methods require rigid testing preschedules or incur…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We study the training dynamics of neural classifiers through the lens of binary hypothesis testing. We re-formalize classification as a collection of binary tests between class-conditional distributions induced by learned representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Kadircan Aksoy , Protim Bhattacharjee , Peter Jung

Selective classification enhances the reliability of predictive models by allowing them to abstain from making uncertain predictions. In this work, we revisit the design of optimal selection functions through the lens of the Neyman--Pearson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Alvin Heng , Harold Soh

We revisit the outlier hypothesis testing framework of Li \emph{et al.} (TIT 2014) and derive fundamental limits for the optimal test under the generalized Neyman-Pearson criterion. In outlier hypothesis testing, one is given multiple…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Lin Zhou , Yun Wei , Alfred Hero

It is well understood that Bayesian decision theory and average case analysis are essentially identical. However, if one is interested in performing uncertainty quantification for a numerical task, it can be argued that standard approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-16 Chris. J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , Dennis Prangle , T. J. Sullivan , Mark Girolami

The small sample universal hypothesis testing problem is investigated in this paper, in which the number of samples $n$ is smaller than the number of possible outcomes $m$. The goal of this work is to find an appropriate criterion to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Dayu Huang , Sean Meyn

The maximum type-I and type-II error exponents associated with the newly introduced almost-fixed-length hypothesis testing is characterized. In this class of tests, the decision-maker declares the true hypothesis almost always after…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-18 Anusha Lalitha , Tara Javidi

Hypothesis testing plays a central role in statistical inference, and is used in many settings where privacy concerns are paramount. This work answers a basic question about privately testing simple hypotheses: given two distributions $P$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Clément L. Canonne , Gautam Kamath , Audra McMillan , Adam Smith , Jonathan Ullman

Two-sample hypothesis testing-determining whether two sets of data are drawn from the same distribution-is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning with broad scientific applications. In the context of nonparametric testing,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Antoine Chatalic , Marco Letizia , Nicolas Schreuder , Lorenzo Rosasco

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

We consider Bayesian multiple hypothesis problem with independent and identically distributed observations. The classical, Sanov's theorem-based, analysis of the error probability allows one to characterize the best achievable error…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Hüseyin Afşer

We provide a brief overview of both Bayes and classical model selection. We argue tentatively that model selection has at least two major goals, that of finding the correct model or predicting well, and that in general both these goals may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-05 Ritabrata Dutta , Malgortaza Bogdan , Jayanta K. Ghosh
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