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We point out that the Neyman-Pearson lemma applies to Bayes factors if we consider expected type-1 and type-2 error rates. That is, the Bayes factor is the test statistic that maximises the expected power for a fixed expected type-1 error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Andrew Fowlie

Recall the classical hypothesis testing setting with two convex sets of probability distributions P and Q. One receives either n i.i.d. samples from a distribution p in P or from a distribution q in Q and wants to decide from which set the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-20 Fernando G. S. L. Brandao , Aram W. Harrow , James R. Lee , Yuval Peres

Despite their importance in supporting experimental conclusions, standard statistical tests are often inadequate for research areas, like the life sciences, where the typical sample size is small and the test assumptions difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-15 Pietro Berkes , Jozsef Fiser

The rise of generative models for scientific research calls for the development of new methods to evaluate their fidelity. A natural framework for addressing this problem is two-sample hypothesis testing, namely the task of determining…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-05 Samuele Grossi , Marco Letizia , Riccardo Torre

The problem of zero-rate multiterminal hypothesis testing is revisited from the perspective of information-spectrum approach and finite blocklength analysis. A Neyman-Pearson-like test is proposed and its non-asymptotic performance is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Shun Watanabe

In this article, we propose some two-sample tests based on ball divergence and investigate their high dimensional behavior. First, we study their behavior for High Dimension, Low Sample Size (HDLSS) data, and under appropriate regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh

We study the performance of machine learning binary classification techniques in terms of error probabilities. The statistical test is based on the Data-Driven Decision Function (D3F), learned in the training phase, i.e., what is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Augusto Aubry , Antonio De Maio , Peter Willett

Neyman and Pearson's theory of testing hypotheses does not warrant minimal epistemic reliability: the feature of driving to true conclusions more often than to false ones. The theory does not protect from the possible negative effects of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Adam P. Kubiak , Pawel Kawalec , Adam Kiersztyn

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

We discuss a general method of model selection from experimentally recorded time-trace data. This method can be used to distinguish between quantum and classical dynamical models. It can be used in post-selection as well as for real-time…

In this paper we consider the problem of binary hypothesis testing with finite memory systems. Let $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables, with expectation $p$ under $\mathcal{H}_0$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-18 Tomer Berg , Ofer Shayevitz , Or Ordentlich

The asymptotically optimal hypothesis testing problem with the general sources as the null and alternative hypotheses is studied under exponential-type error constraints on the first kind of error probability. Our fundamental philosophy in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Te Sun Han

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

Multiple testing problems are a staple of modern statistical analysis. The fundamental objective of multiple testing procedures is to reject as many false null hypotheses as possible (that is, maximize some notion of power), subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-30 Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller , Amichai Painsky , Ehud Aharoni

In several interesting applications one is faced with the problem of simultaneous binary hypothesis testing and parameter estimation. Although such joint problems are not infrequent, there exist no systematic analysis in the literature that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-25 George V. Moustakides

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Particle physics experiments rely on the (generalised) likelihood ratio test (LRT) for searches and measurements, which consist of composite hypothesis tests. However, this test is not guaranteed to be optimal, as the Neyman-Pearson lemma…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-21 James Carzon , Aishik Ghosh , Rafael Izbicki , Ann Lee , Luca Masserano , Daniel Whiteson

We study the Neyman-Pearson theory for convex expectations (convex risk measures) on $L^{\infty}(\mu)$. Without assuming that the level sets of penalty functions are weakly compact, a new approach different from the convex duality method is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Sun Chuanfeng , Ji Shaolin

The validity of classical hypothesis testing requires the significance level $\alpha$ be fixed before any statistical analysis takes place. This is a stringent requirement. For instance, it prohibits updating $\alpha$ during (or after) an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ben Chugg , Tyron Lardy , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson