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In the field of uncertainty quantification, sparse polynomial chaos (PC) expansions are commonly used by researchers for a variety of purposes, such as surrogate modeling. Ideas from compressed sensing may be employed to exploit this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Paul Diaz , Alireza Doostan , Jerrad Hampton

We present an algorithm for computing sparse, least squares-based polynomial chaos expansions, incorporating both adaptive polynomial bases and sequential experimental designs. The algorithm is employed to approximate stochastic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Armin Galetzka , Herbert De Gersem

Computer simulation has become the standard tool in many engineering fields for designing and optimizing systems, as well as for assessing their reliability. To cope with demanding analysis such as optimization and reliability, surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-16 R. Schoebi , B. Sudret , J. Wiart

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) are widely used for uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks, particularly in the applied mathematics community. However, PCE has received comparatively less attention in the statistics literature, and fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Kellin N. Rumsey , Devin Francom , Graham C. Gibson , J. Derek Tucker , Gabriel Huerta

Frequency response functions (FRFs) are important for assessing the behavior of stochastic linear dynamic systems. For large systems, their evaluations are time-consuming even for a single simulation. In such cases, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 V. Yaghoubi , S. Marelli , B. Sudret , T. Abrahamsson

In complex and unknown processes, global models are initially generated over the entire experimental space but often fail to provide accurate predictions in local areas. A common approach is to use local models, which requires partitioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Dominik Polke , Tim Kösters , Elmar Ahle , Dirk Söffker

Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have seen widespread use in the context of uncertainty quantification. However, their application to structural reliability problems has been hindered by the limited performance of PCE in the tails of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-10 S. Marelli , B. Sudret

In the field of surrogate modeling, polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) allows practitioners to construct inexpensive yet accurate surrogates to be used in place of the expensive forward model simulations. For black-box simulations,…

Polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) is a powerful surrogate model-based reliability analysis method. Generally, a PCE model with a higher expansion order is usually required to obtain an accurate surrogate model for some complex non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Xiaohu Zheng , Wen Yao , Yunyang Zhang , Xiaoya Zhang

Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCEs) are widely recognized for their efficient computational performance in surrogate modeling. Yet, a robust framework to quantify local model errors is still lacking. While the local uncertainty of PCE…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 A. Hatstatt , X. Zhu , B. Sudret

Polynomial chaos based methods enable the efficient computation of output variability in the presence of input uncertainty in complex models. Consequently, they have been used extensively for propagating uncertainty through a wide variety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Tuhin Sahai

The growing need for uncertainty analysis of complex computational models has led to an expanding use of meta-models across engineering and sciences. The efficiency of meta-modeling techniques relies on their ability to provide…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Katerina Konakli , Bruno Sudret

The challenges for non-intrusive methods for Polynomial Chaos modeling lie in the computational efficiency and accuracy under a limited number of model simulations. These challenges can be addressed by enforcing sparsity in the series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Panagiotis Tsilifis , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub , Fabio Nobile

Uncertainty quantification seeks to provide a quantitative means to understand complex systems that are impacted by parametric uncertainty. The polynomial chaos method is a computational approach to solve stochastic partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-27 Melvin Leok , Gautam Wilkins

Optimal Bayesian design techniques provide an estimate for the best parameters of an experiment in order to maximize the value of measurements prior to the actual collection of data. In other words, these techniques explore the space of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Alexander Tarakanov , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources introduces significant operational uncertainty into power systems. Although Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) provides an efficient tool for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Le Fang , Wangkun Xu , Fei Teng

In this letter, we compare three polynomial chaos expansion (PCE)-based methods for ANCOVA (ANalysis of COVAriance) indices based global sensitivity analysis for correlated random inputs in two power system applications. Surprisingly, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-17 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , François Bouffard

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

We present an approach to the simulation of quantum systems driven by classical stochastic processes that is based on the polynomial chaos expansion, a well-known technique in the field of uncertainty quantification. The polynomial chaos…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-12-17 Kevin C. Young , Matthew D. Grace