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Bayesian analysis enables combining prior knowledge with measurement data to learn model parameters. Commonly, one resorts to computing the maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate, when only a point estimate of the parameters is of interest. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-08 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Bruno Sudret , Gerhard Müller

This work is directed to uncertainty quantification of homogenized effective properties for composite materials with complex, three dimensional microstructure. The uncertainties arise in the material parameters of the single constituents as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Alexander Henkes , Ismail Caylak , Rolf Mahnken

This paper presents an approach for estimating Shapley effects for use as global sensitivity metrics to quantify the relative importance of uncertain model parameters. Polynomial Chaos expansion, a well established approach for developing…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Adrian Stein , Tarunraj Singh

This paper studies the complexity of distributed construction of purely additive spanners in the CONGEST model. We describe algorithms for building such spanners in several cases. Because of the need to simultaneously make decisions at far…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-07-20 Keren Censor-Hillel , Telikepalli Kavitha , Ami Paz , Amir Yehudayoff

Within recent years, considerable progress has been made regarding high-performance solvers for Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), yielding potential gains in efficiency compared to industry standard tools. However, the latter largely…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Patrick Zimbrod , Michael Fleck , Johannes Schilp

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are Bayesian models that provide uncertainty estimates associated to the predictions made. They are also very flexible due to their non-parametric nature. Nevertheless, GPs suffer from poor scalability as the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Bahram Jafrasteh , Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

We target time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) with heterogeneous coefficients in space and time. To tackle these problems, we construct reduced basis/ multiscale ansatz functions defined in space that can be combined with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Julia Schleuß , Kathrin Smetana , Lukas ter Maat

Many computer vision and image processing problems can be posed as solving partial differential equations (PDEs). However, designing PDE system usually requires high mathematical skills and good insight into the problems. In this paper, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2011-09-07 Risheng Liu , Zhouchen Lin , Wei Zhang , Kewei Tang , Zhixun Su

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a conventional way to describe the observed dynamics of physical systems. Scientists typically hypothesize about dynamical behavior, propose a mathematical model, and compare its predictions to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nils Wildt , Daniel M. Tartakovsky , Sergey Oladyshkin , Wolfgang Nowak

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

Computational inverse problems for biomedical simulators suffer from limited data and relatively high parameter dimensionality. This often requires sensitivity analysis, where parameters of the model are ranked based on their influence on…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Mitchel J. Colebank

Dominant approaches for modelling Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) rely on deterministic predictions, yet many physical systems of interest are inherently chaotic and uncertain. While training probabilistic models from scratch is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Cristiana Diaconu , Miles Cranmer , Richard E. Turner , Tanya Marwah , Payel Mukhopadhyay

We discuss probabilistic models of random covariance structures defined by distributions over sparse eigenmatrices. The decomposition of orthogonal matrices in terms of Givens rotations defines a natural, interpretable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Andrew J. Cron , Mike West

A common approach in computational science is to use a set of of highly precise but expensive calculations to parameterize a model that allows less precise, but more rapid calculations on larger scale systems. Least-squares fitting on a…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Cockayne , Axel van de Walle

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-29 Marie-Pierre Etienne , Eric Parent , Benoit Hugues , Bernier Jacques

This paper develops a parametric Koopman operator framework for Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC), where the Koopman operator is parametrized by Polynomial Chaos Expansions (PCEs). The model is learned from data using the Extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 Efstathios Iliakis , Wallace Gian Yion Tan , Liang Wu , Jan Drgona , Richard D. Braatz

In this work we present a data-driven method for the discovery of parametric partial differential equations (PDEs), thus allowing one to disambiguate between the underlying evolution equations and their parametric dependencies. Group…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Samuel Rudy , Alessandro Alla , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Reliability analysis typically relies on deterministic simulators, which yield repeatable outputs for identical inputs. However, many real-world systems display intrinsic randomness, requiring stochastic simulators whose outputs are random…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 A. Pires , M. Moustapha , S. Marelli , B. Sudret

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models. While there are a variety of efficient ways to analyse these models if the parameters associated with each segment are independent, there are few general approaches…

Computation · Statistics 2009-10-19 Paul Fearnhead , Zhen Liu

Regressions created from experimental or simulated data enable the construction of metamodels, widely used in a variety of engineering applications. Many engineering problems involve multi-parametric physics whose corresponding…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Abel Sancarlos , Victor Champaney , Jean-Louis Duval , Elias Cueto , Francisco Chinesta
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