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Related papers: Predictive Analysis of Chikungunya

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Diffusion processes are governed by external triggers and internal dynamics in complex systems. Timely and cost-effective control of infectious disease spread critically relies on uncovering the underlying diffusion mechanisms, which is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Minkyoung Kim , Dean Paini , Raja Jurdak

Gaining a deeper understanding of weather and being able to predict its future conduct have always been considered important endeavors for the growth of our society. This research paper explores the advancements in understanding and…

Assessing the consistency between short-term global temperature trends in observations and climate model projections is a challenging problem. While climate models capture many processes governing short-term climate fluctuations, they are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-09-23 Patrick J. Michaels , Paul C. Knappenberger , John R. Christy , Chad S. Herman , Lucia M. Liljegren , James D. Annan

Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Stefan Treuck , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

As demand for broadband service increases in emerging regions, high-capacity wireless links can accelerate and cost-reduce the deployment of new networks (both backhaul and customer site connection). Such links are increasingly common in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-09-05 Paul M. Aoki

To infer a diffusion network based on observations from historical diffusion processes, existing approaches assume that observation data contain exact occurrence time of each node infection, or at least the eventual infection statuses of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Hao Huang , Qian Yan , Keqi Han , Ting Gan , Jiawei Jiang , Quanqing Xu , Chuanhui Yan

Understanding the emergence of data breaches is crucial for cyber insurance. However, analyses of data breach frequency trends in the current literature lead to contradictory conclusions. We put forward that those discrepancies may be (at…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-02 Benjamin Avanzi , Xingyun Tan , Greg Taylor , Bernard Wong

In this work we study the influence of populations mobility on the spread of a vector-borne disease. We focus on the chikungunya epidemic event that occurred in 2005-2006 on the R\'eunion Island, Indian Ocean, France, and validate our…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-11-26 Djamila Moulay , Yoann Pigné

For epidemics control and prevention, timely insights of potential hot spots are invaluable. Alternative to traditional epidemic surveillance, which often lags behind real time by weeks, big data from the Internet provide important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-25 Shihao Yang , Shaoyang Ning , S. C. Kou

We consider the problem of individual-specific medication level recommendation (initiation, removal, increase, or decrease) for asthma sufferers. Asthma is one of the most common chronic diseases in both adults and children, affecting 8% of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-22 Curtis B Storlie , Megan E Branda , Michael R Gionfriddo , Nilay D Shah , Matthew A Rank

A distribution inference attack aims to infer statistical properties of data used to train machine learning models. These attacks are sometimes surprisingly potent, but the factors that impact distribution inference risk are not well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Anshuman Suri , Yifu Lu , Yanjin Chen , David Evans

An estimated 300 million people worldwide suffer from asthma, and this number is expected to increase to 400 million by 2025. Approximately 250,000 people die prematurely each year from asthma out of which, almost all deaths are avoidable.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Saksham Kukreja

The world is facing a tough situation due to the catastrophic pandemic caused by novel coronavirus (COVID-19). The number people affected by this virus are increasing exponentially day by day and the number has already crossed 6.4 million.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-07 A K M Bahalul Haque , Tahmid Hasan Pranto , Abdulla All Noman , Atik Mahmood

In this paper, we propose a maximum entropy method for predicting disease risks. It is based on a patient's medical history with diseases coded in ICD-10 which can be used in various cases. The complete algorithm with strict mathematical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Michael Shub , Qing Xu , Xiaohua , Xuan

The traditional method for estimating weather forecast sensitivity to initial conditions uses adjoint models, which are limited to short lead times due to linearization around a control forecast. The advent of deep-learning frameworks…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-10 P. Trent Vonich , Gregory J. Hakim

Air pollution is a significant health concern worldwide, contributing to various respiratory diseases. Advances in air quality mapping, driven by the emergence of smart cities and the proliferation of Internet-of-Things sensor devices, have…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Anvita Mahajan , Sayali Mate , Chinmayee Kulkarni , Suraj Sawant

The worldwide impact of the recent COVID-19 pandemic has been substantial, necessitating the development of accurate forecasting models to predict the spread and course of a pandemic. Previous methods for outbreak forecasting have faced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Ashutosh Anshul , Jhalak Gupta , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

We propose and study a fully efficient method to estimate associations of an exposure with disease incidence when both, incident cases and prevalent cases, i.e. individuals who were diagnosed with the disease at some prior time point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Marlena Maziarz , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin , Ruth Pfeiffer

he evaluation of the impact of actions undertaken is essential in management. This paper assesses the impact of efforts considered to mitigate risk and create safe environments on a global scale. We measure this impact by looking at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Christian Mulomba Mukendi , Hyebong Choi

In this research, methods and computational results based on statistical analysis and mathematical modelling, data collection in situ in order to make a hazard map of Hanta Virus infection in the region of Araucania, Chile are presented.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-06 G. Alvarez , L. Fernandez , R. Salinas