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In recent years social and news media have increasingly been used to explain patterns in disease activity and progression. Social media data, principally from the Twitter network, has been shown to correlate well with official disease case…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-04-17 Donal Simmie , Nicholas Thapen , Chris Hankin

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

Dengue fever is a vector-borne disease mostly endemic to tropical and subtropical countries that affect millions every year and is considered a significant burden for public health. Its geographic distribution makes it highly sensitive to…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Luis A. Barboza , Shu-Wei Chou , Paola Vásquez , Yury E. García , Juan G. Calvo , Hugo C. Hidalgo , Fabio Sanchez

Deep Learning based Weather Prediction (DLWP) models have been improving rapidly over the last few years, surpassing state of the art numerical weather forecasts by significant margins. While much of the optimization effort is focused on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-15 Haoyu Qin , Yungang Chen , Qianchuan Jiang , Pengchao Sun , Xiancai Ye , Chao Lin

Seasonal influenza forecasting is critical for public health and individual decision making. We investigate whether the inclusion of data about influenza activity in neighboring states can improve point predictions and distribution…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-26 Gabrielle Thivierge , Aaron Rumack , F. William Townes

Currently, many researchers and analysts are working toward medical diagnosis enhancement for various diseases. Heart disease is one of the common diseases that can be considered a significant cause of mortality worldwide. Early detection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Salahaldeen Rababa , Asma Yamin , Shuxia Lu , Ashraf Obaidat

Rapidly growing wildfires have recently devastated societal assets, exposing a critical need for early warning systems to expedite relief efforts. Smoke detection using camera-based Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) offers a promising solution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Ryo Ide , Lei Yang

There are economic and physical limitations when applying prevention and control strategies for urban vector borne diseases. Consequently, there are increasing concerns and interest in designing efficient strategies and regulations that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-12 Jorge Velázquez-Castro , Andrés Anzo-Hernández , Beatriz Bonilla-Capilla , Moisés Soto-Bajo , Andrés Fraguela-Collar

Stochastic compartmental models are important tools for understanding the course of infectious diseases epidemics in populations and in prospective evaluation of intervention policies. However, calculating the likelihood for discretely…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Climate change has become a significant global concern due to its capacity to cause substantial disruption to daily life by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Given the rising trend of human interventions in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ritik Roshan Giri , Arnab Hazra

Predictability of undesired events is a question of great interest in many scientific disciplines including seismology, economy, and epidemiology. Here, we focus on the predictability of invasion of a broad class of epidemics caused by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-08 Francisco J. Perez-Reche , Franco M. Neri , Sergei N. Taraskin , Christopher A. Gilligan

Despite having triggered devastating pandemics in the past, our ability to quantitatively assess the emergence potential of individual strains of animal influenza viruses remains limited. This study introduces Emergenet, a tool to infer a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-27 Kevin Yuanbo Wu , Jin Li , Aaron Esser-Kahn , Ishanu Chattopadhyay

This chapter aims to inform a practitioner about current methods for predicting potential distributions of invasive species. It mostly addresses single species models, covering the conceptual bases, touching on mechanistic models, and then…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-07-31 Jane Elith

Cross-sectional HIV incidence estimation leverages recency test results to determine the HIV incidence of a population of interest, where recency test uses biomarker profiles to infer whether an HIV-positive individual was "recently"…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Qi Wang , Ann Duerr , Fei Gao

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

GDP is a vital measure of a country's economic health, reflecting the total value of goods and services produced. Forecasting GDP growth is essential for economic planning, as it helps governments, businesses, and investors anticipate…

General Economics · Economics 2024-09-05 Huaqing Xie , Xingcheng Xu , Fangjia Yan , Xun Qian , Yanqing Yang

Surface water mixed with wastewater creates serious environmental concerns, particularly in densely populated urban areas with inadequate infrastructure. Such contamination threatens to cause major public health crises in the Ganga Basin…