English
Related papers

Related papers: Resolving the two envelope paradox

200 papers

"No two rainbows are the same. Neither are two packs of Skittles. Enjoy an odd mix!". Using an interpretation via spatial random walks, we quantify the probability that two randomly selected packs of Skittles candy are identical and…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Joscha Prochno , Michael Schmitz

Let $a$, $b$, and $n$ be integers with $0<a<b<n$. In a certain two-player probabilistic chip-collecting game, Alice tosses a coin to determine whether she collects $a$ chips or $b$ chips. If Alice collects $a$ chips, then Bob collects $b$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Joshua Harrington , Xuwen Hua , Xufei Liu , Alex Nash , Rodrigo Rios , Tony W. H. Wong

A neat question involving coin flips surfaced on $\Bbb X$, and generated an intensive `storm' of `social mathematics'. In a sequence of flips of a fair coin, Alice wins a point at each appearance of two consecutive heads, and Bob wins a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Geoffrey R. Grimmett

We prove an interesting fact about Lottery: the winning 6 numbers (out of 49) in the game of the Lottery contain two consecutive numbers with a surprisingly high probability (almost 50%).

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Konstantinos Drakakis

The following problem is considered. Two players are each required to allocate a quota of~$n$ counters among~$k$ boxes labelled~$1,2,\ldots,k$. At times $t=1,2,3,\ldots$ a random box is identified; the probability of choosing box~$i$…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-10-06 Robin K. S. Hankin

A two-player one-round binary game consists of two cooperative players who each replies by one bit to a message that he receives privately; they win the game if both questions and answers satisfy some predetermined property. A game is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-06-22 Salman Beigi

Parrondo's paradox indicates a paradoxical situation in which a winning expectation may occur in sequences of losing games. There are many versions of the original Parrondo's games in the literature, but the games are played by two players…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-03 Atiyeh Fotoohinasab

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

We revisit the game in which each of several players chooses a pattern and then a coin is flipped repeatedly until one of these patterns is generated. In particular, we demonstrate how to compute the probability of any one player winning…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Jan Vrbik , Paul Vrbik

Binomial distributions capture the probabilities of `heads' outcomes when a (biased) coin is tossed multiple times. The coin may be identified with a distribution on the two-element set {0,1}, where the 1 outcome corresponds to `head'. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Bart Jacobs

Here, we present a variant of the sliding coins game. Two coins are placed on distinct squares of a semi-infinite linear board with squares numbered $0, 1, 2, dots, $. Two players take turns and move a coin to a lower unoccupied square.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Ryohei Miyadera , Hikaru Manabe , Unchon Lee

We derive an optimal strategy for minimizing the expected loss in the two-period economy when a pivotal decision needs to be made during the first time period and cannot be subsequently reversed. Our interest in the problem has been…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-31 Jiang Wu , Ricardas Zitikis

As in many coin puzzles, we have several identical-looking coins, with one of them fake and the rest real. The real coins weigh the same. Our fake coin is special in that it can change its weight. The coin can pretend to be a real coin, a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Tanya Khovanova , Konstantin Knop

Based on Brownian ratchets, a counter-intuitive phenomenon has recently emerged -- namely, that two losing games can yield, when combined, a paradoxical tendency to win. A restriction of this phenomenon is that the rules depend on the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Juan M. R. Parrondo , Gregory P. Harmer , Derek Abbott

The transitivity of preferences is one of the basic assumptions used in the theory of games and decisions. It is often equated with rationality of choice and is considered useful in building rankings. Intransitive preferences are considered…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-23 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski , Jan Sładkowski

The game of memory is played with a deck of n pairs of cards. The cards in each pair are identical. The deck is shuffled and the cards laid face down. A move consists of flipping over first one card then another. The cards are removed from…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-27 Daniel J. Velleman , Gregory S. Warrington

Consider a game consisting of independent turns with even money payoffs in which the player wins with a fixed probability $p \geq 1/3$ and loses with probability $1 - p$. The Labouchere system is a betting strategy which entails keeping a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Nina Zubrilina

We study an ensemble of individuals playing the two games of the so-called Parrondo paradox. In our study, players are allowed to choose the game to be played by the whole ensemble in each turn. The choice cannot conform to the preferences…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-10 J. M. R. Parrondo , L. Dinis , E. García-Toraño , B. Sotillo

We consider a two-player game in which the first player (the Guesser) tries to guess, edge-by-edge, the path that second player (the Chooser) takes through a directed graph. At each step, the Guesser makes a wager as to the correctness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-14 Marcus Pendergrass

We present a resolution of the celebrated "Surprise Exam Paradox". We argue that if the surprise exam story is analyzed using the exact same meaning of the notion of "surprise" as is dictated by the story itself, then no paradox arises.

History and Overview · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Tahl Nowik