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Dropout is common in clinical studies, with up to half of patients leaving early due to side effects or other reasons. When dropout is informative (i.e., dependent on survival time), it introduces censoring bias, because of which treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Maresa Schröder , Stefan Feuerriegel

Cross-sectional incidence estimation based on recency testing has become a widely used tool in HIV research. Recently, this method has gained prominence in HIV prevention trials to estimate the "placebo" incidence that participants might…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Jianan Pan , Marlena Bannick , Fei Gao

We propose a method of retrospective counterfactual imputation in panel data settings with later-treated and always-treated units, but no never-treated units. We use the observed outcomes to impute the counterfactual outcomes of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Jason Poulos , Andrea Albanese , Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

This paper proposes a novel approach for estimating treatment effects in panel data settings, addressing key limitations of the standard difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The standard approach relies on the parallel trends…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-14 Shoya Ishimaru

Consumers are sensitive to medical prices when consuming care, but delays in price information may distort moral hazard. We study how medical bills affect household spillover spending following utilization, leveraging variation in insurer…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-06 Alex Hoagland , David M. Anderson , Ed Zhu

Dropout poses a significant challenge to causal inference in longitudinal studies with time-varying treatments. However, existing research does not simultaneously address dropout and time-varying treatments. We examine selective…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-18 Zhichao Jiang , Eli Ben-Michael , D. James Greiner , Ryan Halen , Kosuke Imai

Measurement error arises commonly in clinical research settings that rely on data from electronic health records or large observational cohorts. In particular, self-reported outcomes are typical in cohort studies for chronic diseases such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-08 Lillian A. Boe , Lesley F. Tinker , Pamela A. Shaw

Automated voice calls are an effective method of delivering maternal and child health information to mothers in underserved communities. One method to fight dwindling listenership is through an intervention in which health workers make live…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Arpan Dasgupta , Niclas Boehmer , Neha Madhiwalla , Aparna Hedge , Bryan Wilder , Milind Tambe , Aparna Taneja

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

In the present study we investigate overall population effects on episodic memory of an intervention over 15 years that reduces systolic blood pressure in individuals with hypertension. A limitation with previous research on the potential…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-21 Maria Josefsson , Nina Karalija , Michael Daniels

The topic of this paper is prevalence estimation from the perspective of active information. Prevalence among tested individuals has an upward bias under the assumption that individuals' willingness to be tested for the disease increases…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Ola Hössjer , Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Chen Zhao , J. Sunil Rao

Can temporary subsidies to bundles induce long-run changes in demand due to learning about the quality of one of the constituent goods? This paper provides theoretical support and empirical evidence on this mechanism. Theoretically, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-07 Luis Alvarez , Ciro Biderman

Evaluating the causal effect of an intervention on multivariate outcomes is challenging when the outcomes are interdependent and derived rather than directly observed. Effective connectivity, which summarizes the directional neural…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Haiyue Song , Ani Eloyan , Youjin Lee

We study the role of information and access in capacity-constrained selection problems with fairness concerns. We develop a statistical discrimination framework, where each applicant has multiple features and is potentially strategic. The…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Nikhil Garg , Hannah Li , Faidra Monachou

Causal mediation analysis aims at disentangling a treatment effect into an indirect mechanism operating through an intermediate outcome or mediator, as well as the direct effect of the treatment on the outcome of interest. However, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-05 Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs

This paper concerns an insurance firm's surplus process observed at renewal inspection times, with a focus on assessing the probability of the surplus level dropping below zero. For various types of inter-inspection time distributions, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Florine Kuipers , Michel Mandjes , Sara Morcy

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Causal inference is widely used in various fields, such as biology, psychology and economics, etc. In observational studies, we need to balance the covariates before estimating causal effect. This study extends the one-dimensional entropy…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-19 Juan Chen , Yingchun Zhou

In the hospital setting, a small percentage of recurrent frequent patients contribute to a disproportional amount of healthcare resource usage. Moreover, in many of these cases, patient outcomes can be greatly improved by reducing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-23 Luoluo Liu , Eran Simhon , Chaitanya Kulkarni , David Noren , Ronny Mans

This paper evaluates the redistributive and efficiency impacts of expanding access to positive credit information in a financially excluded economy. Using microdata from Uruguay's 2021 household survey, we simulate three data regimes…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-21 Diego Vallarino
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