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Estimation of causal effects using machine learning methods has become an active research field in econometrics. In this paper, we study the finite sample performance of meta-learners for estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects under…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Gabriel Okasa

We study balancing weight estimators, which reweight outcomes from a source population to estimate missing outcomes in a target population. These estimators minimize the worst-case error by making an assumption about the outcome model. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 David Bruns-Smith , Avi Feller

A primary concern of excessive reuse of test datasets in machine learning is that it can lead to overfitting. Multiclass classification was recently shown to be more resistant to overfitting than binary classification. In an open problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Jayadev Acharya , Ananda Theertha Suresh

In this paper, we study the learning rate of generalized Bayes estimators in a general setting where the hypothesis class can be uncountable and have an irregular shape, the loss function can have heavy tails, and the optimal hypothesis may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-22 Lam Si Tung Ho , Binh T. Nguyen , Vu Dinh , Duy Nguyen

This paper presents a Bayesian framework for assessing the adequacy of a model without the necessity of explicitly enumerating a specific alternate model. A test statistic is developed for tracking the performance of the model across…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

It is common practice in deep learning to use overparameterized networks and train for as long as possible; there are numerous studies that show, both theoretically and empirically, that such practices surprisingly do not unduly harm the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-05 Leslie Rice , Eric Wong , J. Zico Kolter

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

We study the optimal sample complexity of variable selection in linear regression under general design covariance, and show that subset selection is optimal while under standard complexity assumptions, efficient algorithms for this problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Ming Gao , Bryon Aragam

We address the problem of aggregating an ensemble of predictors with known loss bounds in a semi-supervised binary classification setting, to minimize prediction loss incurred on the unlabeled data. We find the minimax optimal predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Akshay Balsubramani , Yoav Freund

Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Oscar Clivio , Avi Feller , Chris Holmes

Many modern machine learning models are trained to achieve zero or near-zero training error in order to obtain near-optimal (but non-zero) test error. This phenomenon of strong generalization performance for "overfitted" / interpolated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-29 Mikhail Belkin , Daniel Hsu , Partha Mitra

Pseudo-Labeling is a simple and effective approach to semi-supervised learning. It requires criteria that guide the selection of pseudo-labeled data. The latter have been shown to crucially affect pseudo-labeling's generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Julian Rodemann

Canonical work handling distribution shifts typically necessitates an entire target distribution that lands inside the training distribution. However, practical scenarios often involve only a handful of target samples, potentially lying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Lingjing Kong , Guangyi Chen , Petar Stojanov , Haoxuan Li , Eric P. Xing , Kun Zhang

This manuscript studies statistical properties of linear classifiers obtained through minimization of an unregularized convex risk over a finite sample. Although the results are explicitly finite-dimensional, inputs may be passed through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-15 Matus Telgarsky

The efficacy of robust optimization spans a variety of settings with uncertainties bounded in predetermined sets. In many applications, uncertainties are affected by decisions and cannot be modeled with current frameworks. This paper takes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-29 Omid Nohadani , Kartikey Sharma

In many modern applications of deep learning the neural network has many more parameters than the data points used for its training. Motivated by those practices, a large body of recent theoretical research has been devoted to studying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-07 A. Tsigler , P. L. Bartlett

We introduce a rank-based bent linear regression with an unknown change point. Using a linear reparameterization technique, we propose a rank-based estimate that can make simultaneous inference on all model parameters, including the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Feipeng Zhang , Qunhua Li

Machine learning models trained on uncurated datasets can often end up adversely affecting inputs belonging to underrepresented groups. To address this issue, we consider the problem of adaptively constructing training sets which allow us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Greg Fields , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Tara Javidi

We present some extensions of Bernstein's concentration inequality for random matrices. This inequality has become a useful and powerful tool for many problems in statistics, signal processing and theoretical computer science. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Stanislav Minsker

In this paper, I will introduce a new form of regression, that can adjust overfitting and underfitting through, "distance-based regression." Overfitting often results in finding false patterns causing inaccurate results, so by having a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Dylan Wilson
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