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In randomized controlled trials without interference, regression adjustment is widely used to enhance the efficiency of treatment effect estimation. This paper extends this efficiency principle to settings with network interference, where a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Xinyuan Fan , Chenlei Leng , Weichi Wu

Here we present an expository, general analysis of valid post-selection or post-regularization inference about a low-dimensional target parameter, $\alpha$, in the presence of a very high-dimensional nuisance parameter, $\eta$, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Martin Spindler

We present an information-theoretic framework for understanding overfitting and underfitting in machine learning and prove the formal undecidability of determining whether an arbitrary classification algorithm will overfit a dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Daniel Bashir , George D. Montanez , Sonia Sehra , Pedro Sandoval Segura , Julius Lauw

Model selection criteria are one of the most important tools in statistics. Proofs showing a model selection criterion is asymptotically optimal are tailored to the type of model (linear regression, quantile regression, penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Amaze Lusompa

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for detecting exposure-outcome associations given covariates across different parts of the outcome's distribution, but has two major limitations when the aim is to infer the effect of an exposure.…

Modern deep neural networks are highly over-parameterized compared to the data on which they are trained, yet they often generalize remarkably well. A flurry of recent work has asked: why do deep networks not overfit to their training data?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Minyoung Huh , Hossein Mobahi , Richard Zhang , Brian Cheung , Pulkit Agrawal , Phillip Isola

We study large-scale classification problems in changing environments where a small part of the dataset is modified, and the effect of the data modification must be quickly incorporated into the classifier. When the entire dataset is large,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-02 Hiroyuki Hanada , Atsushi Shibagaki , Jun Sakuma , Ichiro Takeuchi

The features in high dimensional biomedical prediction problems are often well described with lower dimensional manifolds. An example is genes that are organised in smaller functional networks. The outcome can then be described with the…

When reading peer-reviewed scientific literature describing any analysis of empirical data, it is natural and correct to proceed with the underlying assumption that experiments have made good faith efforts to ensure that their analyses…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-09-13 S. Towers

In this work, we study the weighted empirical risk minimization (weighted ERM) schema, in which an additional data-dependent weight function is incorporated when the empirical risk function is being minimized. We show that under a general…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Yikai Zhang , Jiahe Lin , Fengpei Li , Songzhu Zheng , Anant Raj , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka

Many standard estimators, when applied to adaptively collected data, fail to be asymptotically normal, thereby complicating the construction of confidence intervals. We address this challenge in a semi-parametric context: estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Licong Lin , Koulik Khamaru , Martin J. Wainwright

We obtain a Bernstein-type inequality for sums of Banach-valued random variables satisfying a weak dependence assumption of general type and under certain smoothness assumptions of the underlying Banach norm. We use this inequality in order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Gilles Blanchard , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi

We theoretically and experimentally investigate tensor-based regression and classification. Our focus is regularization with various tensor norms, including the overlapped trace norm, the latent trace norm, and the scaled latent trace norm.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Kishan Wimalawarne , Ryota Tomioka , Masashi Sugiyama

When an experimenter has the option of running an adaptive trial, is it admissible to ignore this option and run a non-adaptive trial instead? We provide a negative answer to this question in the best-arm identification problem, where the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-06 Guido Imbens , Chao Qin , Stefan Wager

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

Model selection in supervised learning provides costless guarantees as if the model that best balances bias and variance was known a priori. We study the feasibility of similar guarantees for cumulative regret minimization in the stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Adrienne Margaret Propp , Susan Athey

We consider learning methods based on the regularization of a convex empirical risk by a squared Hilbertian norm, a setting that includes linear predictors and non-linear predictors through positive-definite kernels. In order to go beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-19 Ulysse Marteau-Ferey , Dmitrii Ostrovskii , Francis Bach , Alessandro Rudi

Standard adversarial training approaches suffer from robust overfitting where the robust accuracy decreases when models are adversarially trained for too long. The origin of this problem is still unclear and conflicting explanations have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Muhammad Zaid Hameed , Beat Buesser

This paper provides an analysis of the tradeoff between asymptotic bias (suboptimality with unlimited data) and overfitting (additional suboptimality due to limited data) in the context of reinforcement learning with partial observability.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Vincent Francois-Lavet , Guillaume Rabusseau , Joelle Pineau , Damien Ernst , Raphael Fonteneau

The recent success of neural networks in pattern recognition and classification problems suggests that neural networks possess qualities distinct from other more classical classifiers such as SVMs or boosting classifiers. This paper studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-27 Hyunouk Ko , Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo
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