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Related papers: Benign overfitting without concentration

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In clinical trials and other applications, we often see regions of the feature space that appear to exhibit interesting behaviour, but it is unclear whether these observed phenomena are reflected at the population level. Focusing on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Henry W. J. Reeve , Timothy I. Cannings , Richard J. Samworth

Transformers serve as the foundational architecture for many successful large-scale models, demonstrating the ability to overfit the training data while maintaining strong generalization on unseen data, a phenomenon known as benign…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yingying Zhang , Zhenyu Wu , Jian Li , Yong Liu

Overfitting describes a machine learning phenomenon where the model fits too closely to the training data, resulting in poor generalization. While this occurrence is thoroughly documented for many forms of supervised learning, it is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Zachary Rabin , Jim Davis , Benjamin Lewis , Matthew Scherreik

This paper is devoted to the problem of determining the concentration bounds that are achievable in non-parametric regression. We consider the setting where features are supported on a bounded subset of $\mathbb{R}^d$, the regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anna Ben-Hamou , Arnaud Guyader

Calibration weighting has been widely used to correct selection biases in non-probability sampling, missing data, and causal inference. The main idea is to calibrate the biased sample to the benchmark by adjusting the subject weights.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

We study a problem of best-effort adaptation motivated by several applications and considerations, which consists of determining an accurate predictor for a target domain, for which a moderate amount of labeled samples are available, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Pranjal Awasthi , Corinna Cortes , Mehryar Mohri

This paper studies linear overparameterized models in economic forecasting and highlights that including noise variables (regressors with no predictive power) regularizes the estimator. We consider a setting where both the outcome variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-16 Yuan Liao , Xinjie Ma , Andreas Neuhierl , Zhentao Shi

Regression analysis based on many covariates is becoming increasingly common. However, when the number of covariates $p$ is of the same order as the number of observations $n$, maximum likelihood regression becomes unreliable due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Emanuele Massa , Marianne Jonker , Kit Roes , Anthony Coolen

Mislabeled, duplicated, or biased data in real-world scenarios can lead to prolonged training and even hinder model convergence. Traditional solutions prioritizing easy or hard samples lack the flexibility to handle such a variety…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Zhijie Deng , Peng Cui , Jun Zhu

The results of training a neural network are heavily dependent on the architecture chosen; and even a modification of only its size, however small, typically involves restarting the training process. In contrast to this, we begin training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Rupert Mitchell , Robin Menzenbach , Kristian Kersting , Martin Mundt

We investigate two causes for adversarial vulnerability in deep neural networks: bad data and (poorly) trained models. When trained with SGD, deep neural networks essentially achieve zero training error, even in the presence of label noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Amartya Sanyal , Puneet K Dokania , Varun Kanade , Philip H. S. Torr

The aim of reduced rank regression is to connect multiple response variables to multiple predictors. This model is very popular, especially in biostatistics where multiple measurements on individuals can be re-used to predict multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 The Tien Mai , Pierre Alquier

Since their inception in the 1980's, regression trees have been one of the more widely used non-parametric prediction methods. Tree-structured methods yield a histogram reconstruction of the regression surface, where the bins correspond to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Veronika Rockova , Stephanie van der Pas

Estimating the dependences between random variables, and ranking them accordingly, is a prevalent problem in machine learning. Pursuing frequentist and information-theoretic approaches, we first show that the p-value and the mutual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Harald Steck

We study prediction and estimation problems using empirical risk minimization, relative to a general convex loss function. We obtain sharp error rates even when concentration is false or is very restricted, for example, in heavy-tailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-14 Shahar Mendelson

We investigate the high-dimensional linear regression problem in the presence of noise correlated with Gaussian covariates. This correlation, known as endogeneity in regression models, often arises from unobserved variables and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Toshiki Tsuda , Masaaki Imaizumi

Concentration inequalities quantify the deviation of a random variable from a fixed value. In spite of numerous applications, such as opinion surveys or ecological counting procedures, few concentration results are known for the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Rémi Bardenet , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

We extend the approximate residual balancing (ARB) framework to nonlinear models, answering an open problem posed by Athey et al. (2018). Our approach addresses the challenge of estimating average treatment effects in high-dimensional…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Isaac Meza

This paper addresses the problem of model selection in the sequence model $Y=\theta+\varepsilon\xi$, when $\xi$ is sub-Gaussian, for non-euclidian loss-functions. In this model, the Penalized Comparison to Overfitting procedure is studied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

Latent variable models are well-known to suffer from rank deficiencies, causing problems with convergence and stability. Such problems are compounded in the "reduced-group split-ballot multitrait-multimethod model", which omits a set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-05 Daniel L. Oberski
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