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This paper investigates the investment problem of constructing an optimal no-short sequential portfolio strategy in a market with a latent dependence structure between asset prices and partly unobservable side information, which is often…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Duy Khanh Lam

Prior work has shown that language models can be tuned to follow user instructions using only a small set of high-quality instructions. This has accelerated the development of methods that filter a large, noisy instruction-tuning datasets…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Harshita Diddee , Daphne Ippolito

We initiate a principled study of algorithmic collective action on digital platforms that deploy machine learning algorithms. We propose a simple theoretical model of a collective interacting with a firm's learning algorithm. The collective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Moritz Hardt , Eric Mazumdar , Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Tijana Zrnic

We explore in some detail the notion of algorithmic stability as a viable framework for analyzing the generalization error of learning algorithms. We introduce the new notion of training stability of a learning algorithm and show that, in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Samuel Kutin , Partha Niyogi

Multiple lines of evidence suggest that predictive models may benefit from algorithmic triage. Under algorithmic triage, a predictive model does not predict all instances but instead defers some of them to human experts. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-19 Nastaran Okati , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Recently, reinforcement learning has achieved remarkable results in various domains, including robotics, games, natural language processing, and finance. In the financial domain, this approach has been applied to tasks such as portfolio…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-07 Caio de Souza Barbosa Costa , Anna Helena Reali Costa

The selection of the most appropriate algorithm to solve a given problem instance, known as algorithm selection, is driven by the potential to capitalize on the complementary performance of different algorithms across sets of problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Gjorgjina Cenikj , Ana Nikolikj , Gašper Petelin , Niki van Stein , Carola Doerr , Tome Eftimov

Although being a crucial question for the development of machine learning algorithms, there is still no consensus on how to compare classifiers over multiple data sets with respect to several criteria. Every comparison framework is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Christoph Jansen , Malte Nalenz , Georg Schollmeyer , Thomas Augustin

When an algorithm provides risk assessments, we typically think of them as helpful inputs to human decisions, such as when risk scores are presented to judges or doctors. However, a decision-maker may react not only to the information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Bryce McLaughlin , Jann Spiess

The artificial segmentation of an investment management process into a workflow with silos of offline human operators can restrict silos from collectively and adaptively pursuing a unified optimal investment goal. To meet the investor's…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-08 Andrew Paskaramoorthy , Terence van Zyl , Tim Gebbie

Domain generalization is the problem of machine learning when the training data and the test data come from different data domains. We present a simple theoretical model of learning to generalize across domains in which there is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-14 Vikas K. Garg , Adam Kalai , Katrina Ligett , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Learning algorithms need bias to generalize and perform better than random guessing. We examine the flexibility (expressivity) of biased algorithms. An expressive algorithm can adapt to changing training data, altering its outcome based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-13 Julius Lauw , Dominique Macias , Akshay Trikha , Julia Vendemiatti , George D. Montanez

Highly overparametrized neural networks can display curiously strong generalization performance - a phenomenon that has recently garnered a wealth of theoretical and empirical research in order to better understand it. In contrast to most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Jorg Bornschein , Francesco Visin , Simon Osindero

Item Response Theory (IRT) has been proposed within the field of Educational Psychometrics to assess student ability as well as test question difficulty and discrimination power. More recently, IRT has been applied to evaluate machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-01 Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Kate Smith-Miles

The first moment and second central moments of the portfolio return, a.k.a. mean and variance, have been widely employed to assess the expected profit and risk of the portfolio. Investors pursue higher mean and lower variance when designing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Rui Zhou , Daniel P. Palomar

Is bigger always better for time series foundation models? With the question in mind, we explore an alternative to training a single, large monolithic model: building a portfolio of smaller, pretrained forecasting models. By applying…

We consider the problem of the statistical uncertainty of the correlation matrix in the optimization of a financial portfolio. We show that the use of clustering algorithms can improve the reliability of the portfolio in terms of the ratio…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Vincenzo Tola , Fabrizio Lillo , Mauro Gallegati , Rosario N. Mantegna

One of the classical problems in machine learning and data mining is feature selection. A feature selection algorithm is expected to be quick, and at the same time it should show high performance. MeLiF algorithm effectively solves this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-08 Ivan Smetannikov , Ilya Isaev , Andrey Filchenkov

Constrained multi-objective optimization problems (CMOPs) are of great significance in the context of practical applications, ranging from scientific to engineering domains. Most existing constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithms…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Shuai Shao , Ye Tian , Shangshang Yang , Xingyi Zhang

Portfolio optimization approaches inevitably rely on multivariate modeling of markets and the economy. In this paper, we address three sources of error related to the modeling of these complex systems: 1. oversimplifying hypothesis; 2.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-30 Pier Francesco Procacci , Tomaso Aste
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