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We consider a basic one-dimensional model of diffusion which allows to obtain a diversity of diffusive regimes whose speed depends on the moments of the per-site trapping time. This model is closely related to the continuous time random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Elena Floriani , Ricardo Lima , Edgardo Ugalde

This topic review communicates working experiences regarding interaction of a multiplicity of processes. Our experiences come from climate change modelling, materials science, cell physiology and public health, and macroeconomic modelling.…

General Economics · Economics 2020-02-07 Bernhelm Booss-Bavnbek , Rasmus Kristoffer Pedersen , Ulf Rørbæk Pedersen

In a recent paper, Shah [arXiv:2502.03073] derived an explicit expression for the distribution of occupancy times for a two-state Markov chain, using a method based on enumerating sample paths. We consider here the more general problem of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Phil Pollett

Cities are typical dynamic complex systems that connect people and facilitate interactions. Revealing universal collective patterns behind spatio-temporal interactions between residents is crucial for various urban studies, of which we are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-11 Chenxin Liu , Yu Yang , Bingsheng Chen , Tianyu Cui , Fan Shang , Jingfang Fan , Ruiqi Li

A time-dependent model for the energy of a flaring solar active region is presented based on a stochastic jump-transition model (Wheatland and Glukhov 1998; Wheatland 2008; Wheatland 2009). The magnetic free energy of the model active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 M. Kanazir , M. S. Wheatland

Time-dependent potentials are common in galactic systems that undergo significant evolution, interactions, or encounters with other galaxies, or when there are dynamic processes like star formation and merging events. Recent studies show…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-02-04 Eduárd Illés , Dániel Jánosi , Tamás Kovács

We consider a stochastic individual-based model of adaptive dynamics for an asexually reproducing population with mutation, with linear birth and death rates, as well as a density-dependent competition. To depict repeating changes of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-28 Manuel Esser , Anna Kraut

The first chapter concerns monotype population models. We first study general birth and death processes and we give non-explosion and extinction criteria, moment computations and a pathwise representation. We then show how different scales…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-06 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard

The voter model with memory-dependent dynamics is theoretically and numerically studied at the mean-field level. The `internal age', or time an individual spends holding the same state, is added to the set of binary states of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-06 Antonio F. Peralta , Nagi Khalil , Raul Toral

Natural ecosystems, in particular on the microbial scale, are inhabited by a large number of species. The population size of each species is affected by interactions of individuals with each other and by spatial and temporal changes in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-23 Tom Burkart , Jan Willeke , Erwin Frey

We study regenerative processes time-changed by state-dependent inverse subordinators. The construction assigns possibly different independent subordinators to measurable classes of excursions and builds a random clock from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Kosuke Yamato

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt

In model-based learning, an agent's model is commonly defined over transitions between consecutive states of an environment even though planning often requires reasoning over multi-step timescales, with intermediate states either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Alexey Zakharov , Matthew Crosby , Zafeirios Fountas

We consider a system of $N$ non-crossing Brownian particles in one dimension. We find the exact rate function that describes the long-time large deviation statistics of their occupation fraction in a finite interval in space. Remarkably, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-28 Soheli Mukherjee , Naftali R. Smith

Multi-state capture-recapture data comprise individual-specific sighting histories together with information on individuals' states related, for example, to breeding status, infection level, or geographical location. Such data are often…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-16 Sina Mews , Roland Langrock , Ruth King , Nicola Quick

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

Markov community models have been applied to sessile organisms because such models facilitate estimation of transition probabilities by tracking species occupancy at many fixed observation points over multiple periods of time. Estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-12 Keiichi Fukaya , J. Andrew Royle , Takehiro Okuda , Masahiro Nakaoka , Takashi Noda

Individuals within any species exhibit differences in size, developmental state, or spatial location. These differences coupled with environmental fluctuations in demographic rates can have subtle effects on population persistence and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-16 Gregory Roth , Sebastian J. Schreiber

In the last decade, stochastic models have shown to be very useful for quantitative modelling of social processes. Here, a configurational master equation for the description of behavioral changes by pair interactions of individuals is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

We analyze ecological systems that are influenced by random environmental fluctuations. We first provide general conditions which ensure that the species coexist and the system converges to a unique invariant probability measure (stationary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-19 Alexandru Hening , Yao Li