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This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). The conceptual and methodological framework that underpins approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is targetted primarily towards problems in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-20 Christopher C Drovandi , Clara Grazian , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian Robert

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

Astrometric perturbations of lensed arcs behind galaxy clusters have been recently suggested as promising probes of small-scale ($\lesssim10^9 M_{\odot}$) dark matter substructure. Populations of cold dark matter (CDM) subhalos, predicted…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Derek Perera , Daniel Gilman , Liliya L. R. Williams , Liang Dai , Xiaolong Du , Gregor Rihtarsic , Joaquin Becerra-Espinoza , Allison Keen

Mergers and tidal interactions between massive galaxies and their dwarf satellites are a fundamental prediction of the Lambda-Cold Dark Matter cosmology. These events are thought to provide important observational diagnostics of nonlinear…

Context: Quantitative spectroscopy of luminous blue stars relies on detailed non-LTE model atmospheres whose increasing physical realism makes direct, iterative analyses computationally demanding. Aims: We introduce MAUI (Machine-learning…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-06 Miguel A. Urbaneja

Bayesian likelihood-free methods implement Bayesian inference using simulation of data from the model to substitute for intractable likelihood evaluations. Most likelihood-free inference methods replace the full data set with a summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Yinan Mao , Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , Michael Evans

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe

We re-evaluate the extragalactic gamma-ray flux prediction from dark matter annihilation in the approach of integrating over the nonlinear matter power spectrum, extrapolated to the free-streaming scale. We provide an estimate of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-04 Emiliano Sefusatti , Gabrijela Zaharijas , Pasquale D. Serpico , David Theurel , Michael Gustafsson

The substantial growth of network traffic speed and volume presents practical challenges to network data analysis. Packet thinning and flow aggregation protocols such as NetFlow reduce the size of datasets by providing structured data…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 Prosha A. Rahman , Boris Beranger , Matthew Roughan , Scott A. Sisson

When inferring unknown parameters or comparing different models, data must be compared to underlying theory. Even if a model has no closed-form solution to derive summary statistics, it is often still possible to simulate mock data in order…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2019-12-20 Niall Jeffrey , Filipe B. Abdalla

By means of direct N-body simulations and simplified numerical models, we study the formation and characteristics of the tidal tails around Palomar 5, along its orbit in the Milky Way potential. Unlike previous findings, we are able to…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-11 Alessandra Mastrobuono-Battisti , Paola Di Matteo , Marco Montuori , Misha Haywood

We study the impact of warm dark matter (WDM) particle mass on galaxy properties using 1,024 state-of-the-art cosmological hydrodynamical simulations from the DREAMS project. We begin by using a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) coupled with a…

There is hope to discover dark matter subhalos free of stars (predicted by the current theory of structure formation) by observing gaps they produce in tidal streams. In fact, this is the most promising technique for dark substructure…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-23 Denis Erkal , Vasily Belokurov

We develop a method for constraining the potential of the Milky Way using stellar streams with a known progenitor. The method expresses the stream in angle-action coordinates and integrates the orbits of the stars backwards in time to…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-11-10 C. G. Palau , W. Wang , J. Han

The arrival times, positions, and fluxes of multiple images in strong lens systems can be used to infer the presence of dark subhalos in the deflector, and thus test predictions of cold dark matter models. However, gravitational lensing…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-16 Daniel Gilman , Adriano Agnello , Tommaso Treu , Charles R. Keeton , Anna M. Nierenberg

Cosmological structure formation predicts that our galactic halo contains an enormous hierarchy of substructures and streams, the remnants of the merging hierarchy that began with tiny Earth mass microhalos. If these structures persist…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-03-19 Aurel Schneider , Lawrence M. Krauss , Ben Moore

We present a novel method to constrain the mass of ultra-light bosons as the dark matter using stellar streams formed by disrupting Globular Clusters in the Milky Way. The turbulent density field of Fuzzy Dark Matter (FDM) haloes results in…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2018-08-03 Nicola C. Amorisco , A. Loeb

Tidal streams in the Milky Way are sensitive probes of the population of dark-matter subhalos predicted in cold-dark-matter (CDM) simulations. We present a new calculus for computing the effect of subhalo fly-bys on cold tidal streams based…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-02-10 Jo Bovy , Denis Erkal , Jason L. Sanders

We present a Bayesian reconstruction algorithm to generate unbiased samples of the underlying dark matter field from halo catalogues. Our new contribution consists of implementing a non-Poisson likelihood including a deterministic…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Metin Ata , Francisco-Shu Kitaura , Volker Müller

We develop a novel approach to performing precision inference on tidally perturbed dwarf galaxies. We use a Bayesian inference framework of implicit likelihood inference, previously applied mainly in the field of cosmology, based on forward…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-04-11 Axel Widmark , Kathryn V. Johnston