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Approximate Bayes Computations (ABC) are used for parameter inference when the likelihood function of the model is expensive to evaluate but relatively cheap to sample from. In particle ABC, an ensemble of particles in the product space of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-15 Carlo Albert , Hans R. Kuensch , Andreas Scheidegger

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods rely on asymptotic arguments, implying that parameter inference can be systematically biased even when sufficient statistics are available. We propose to construct the ABC accept/reject step…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-24 Oliver Ratmann , Anton Camacho , Adam Meijer , Gé Donker

A key obstacle to accurate models of the first stars and galaxies is the vast range of distance scales that must be considered. While star formation occurs on sub-parsec scales within dark matter (DM) minihalos, it is influenced by…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-06-17 Colton Feathers , Mihir Kulkarni , Eli Visbal

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

The Dark Matter present in the Large-Scale Structure of the Universe is invisible, but its presence can be inferred through the small gravitational lensing effect it has on the images of far away galaxies. By measuring this lensing effect…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-18 Benjamin Remy , Francois Lanusse , Zaccharie Ramzi , Jia Liu , Niall Jeffrey , Jean-Luc Starck

Studies of strong gravitational lensing in current and upcoming wide and deep photometric surveys, and of stellar kinematics from (integral-field) spectroscopy at increasing redshifts, promise to provide valuable constraints on galaxy…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Glenn van de Ven , Rachel Mandelbaum , Charles R. Keeton

Axion-like particles (ALPs), hypothetical pseudoscalar particles that couple to photons, are among the most actively investigated candidates for new physics beyond the Standard Model. Their interaction with gamma rays in the presence of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2026-01-15 Pooja Bhattacharjee , Christopher Eckner , Gabrijela Zaharijas , Gert Kluge , Giacomo D'Amico

The non-uniform surface temperature distribution of rotating active stars is routinely mapped with the Doppler Imaging technique. Inhomogeneities in the surface produce features in high-resolution spectroscopic observations that shift in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-23 A. Asensio Ramos , C. Diaz Baso , O. Kochukhov

We have developed a new Bayesian method to correct the flux densities of astronomical sources. The hybrid method combines a simulated likelihood to model survey selection together with an analytic source-count-based prior. The simulated…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-04-29 Megan B. Gralla , Tobias A. Marriage

In the standard structure formation scenario based on the cold dark matter paradigm, galactic halos are predicted to contain a large population of dark matter subhalos. While the most massive members of the subhalo population can appear as…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-08-10 Francis-Yan Cyr-Racine , Leonidas A. Moustakas , Charles R. Keeton , Kris Sigurdson , Daniel A. Gilman

We obtain predictions for the properties of cold dark matter annihilation radiation using high resolution hydrodynamic zoom-in cosmological simulations of Milky Way-like galaxies (APOSTLE project) carried out as part of the "Evolution and…

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) enables statistical inference in simulator-based models whose likelihoods are difficult to calculate but easy to simulate from. ABC constructs a kernel-type approximation to the posterior distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Yuexi Wang , Tetsuya Kaji , Veronika Ročková

For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

Narrow stellar streams in the Milky Way halo are uniquely sensitive to dark-matter subhalos, but many of these subhalos may be tidally disrupted. I calculate the interaction between stellar and dark-matter streams using analytical and…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2016-03-30 Jo Bovy

Strong lensing is a sensitive probe of the small-scale density fluctuations in the Universe. We implement a novel approach to modeling strongly lensed systems using probabilistic cataloging, which is a transdimensional, hierarchical, and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-06 Tansu Daylan , Francis-Yan Cyr-Racine , Ana Diaz Rivero , Cora Dvorkin , Douglas P. Finkbeiner

We present a model for the structure of the particle phase space average density ($P^2SAD$) in galactic haloes, introduced recently as a novel measure of the clustering of dark matter. Our model is based on the stable clustering hypothesis…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-06-05 Jesus Zavala , Niayesh Afshordi

Pal 5 is a low mass, low velocity dispersion, globular cluster with spectacular tidal tails. We use the SDSS DR8 data to extend the density measurements of the trailing star stream to 23 degrees distance from the cluster, at which point the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 R. G. Carlberg , C. J. Grillmair , Nathan Hetherington

We simulate tidal streams in the presence and absence of substructures inside the zero redshift snapshot of the Via Lactea II (VL-2) simulation. A halo finder is used to remove and isolate the subhalos found inside the high resolution dark…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-23 Wayne Ngan , Brandon Bozek , Raymond G. Carlberg , Rosemary F. G. Wyse , Alexander S. Szalay , Piero Madau

The predicted abundance and properties of the low-mass substructures embedded inside larger dark matter haloes differ sharply among alternative dark matter models. Too small to host galaxies themselves, these subhaloes may still be detected…

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