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We propose a novel approach for solving inverse-problems with high-dimensional inputs and an expensive forward mapping. It leverages joint deep generative modelling to transfer the original problem spaces to a lower dimensional latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Eliane Maalouf , David Ginsbourger , Niklas Linde

We present a proof-of-concept of a novel and fully Bayesian methodology designed to detect halos of different masses in cosmological observations subject to noise and systematic uncertainties. Our methodology combines the previously…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-08 Alexander I. Merson , Jens Jasche , Filipe B. Abdalla , Ofer Lahav , Benjamin Wandelt , D. Heath Jones , Matthew Colless

We develop a formalism for modelling the impact of dark matter subhaloes on cold thin streams. Our formalism models the formation of a gap in a stream in angle-frequency space and is able to handle general stream and impact geometry. We…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2016-03-08 Jason L. Sanders , Jo Bovy , Denis Erkal

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

Mysterious dark matter constitutes about 85% of all mass in the Universe. Clustering of dark matter plays the dominant role in the formation of all observed structures on scales from a fraction to a few hundreds of Mega-parsecs. Galaxies…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-26 Nesar S. Ramachandra , Sergei F. Shandarin

We propose a machine learning-based approach for parameter estimation of Massive Black Hole Binaries (MBHBs), leveraging normalizing flows to approximate the likelihood function. By training these flows on simulated data, we can generate…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-18 Iván Martín Vílchez , Carlos F. Sopuerta

Cosmological probes pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters which characterize the underlying physical system -- our Universe. Modern…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-21 Timur Takhtaganov , Zarija Lukic , Juliane Mueller , Dmitriy Morozov

We present a new inference method based on approximate Bayesian computation for estimating parameters governing an entire network based on link-traced samples of that network. To do this, we first take summary statistics from an observed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-17 Jack Davis , Steven K. Thompson

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We present a novel method to differentiate stream-like and shell-like tidal remnants of stellar systems in galactic halos using the density-based approach of the clustering algorithm AstroLink. While previous studies lean on observation,…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-09-17 Viraj Ekanayaka , Smrithi Gireesh Babu , William H. Oliver , Geraint F. Lewis

Despite the Milky Way's proximity to us, our knowledge of its dark matter halo is fairly limited, and there is still considerable uncertainty in its halo mass. Many past techniques have been limited by assumptions such as the Galaxy being…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2024-04-09 Elaheh Hayati , Peter Behroozi , Ekta Patel

Statistics of lensed arcs in clusters of galaxies serve as a powerful probe of both the non-sphericity and the inner slope of dark matter halos. We develop a semi-analytic method to compute the number of arcs in triaxial dark matter halos.…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 Masamune Oguri , Jounghun Lee , Yasushi Suto

Stellar streams are sensitive probes of the Galactic potential. The likelihood of a stream model given stream data is often assessed using simulations. However, comparing to simulations is challenging when even the stream paths can be hard…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2023-05-03 Nathaniel Starkman , Jo Bovy , Jeremy J. Webb , Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

The dark matter halo of the Milky Way is expected to be triaxial and filled with substructure. It is hoped that streams or shells of stars produced by tidal disruption of stellar systems will provide precise measures of the gravitational…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-19 Adrian M. Price-Whelan , David W. Hogg , Kathryn V. Johnston , David Hendel

A fundamental prediction of the cold dark matter cosmology is the existence of a large number of dark subhalos around galaxies, most of which should be entirely devoid of stars. Confirming the existence of dark substructures stands among…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2018-08-01 Andrew S. Graus , James S. Bullock , Michael Boylan-Kolchin , Anna M. Nierenberg

For many analyses in cosmology it is necessary to reconstruct the likely distribution of unobserved fields, such as dark matter or non-luminous baryons, from observed luminous tracers. The dominant approach in cosmology has been to use the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Jordan Krywonos , Yurii Kvasiuk , Matthew C. Johnson , Moritz Münchmeyer

Utilizing data from the ELVIS and Via Lactea-II simulations, we characterize the local dark matter subhalo population, and use this information to refine the predictions for the gamma-ray fluxes arising from annihilating dark matter in this…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-04-19 Dan Hooper , Samuel J. Witte

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complicated stochastic models for which the likelihood function is difficult or even impossible to calculate, and hence conventional likelihood-based inferential echniques cannot be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-05-29 Simon R. White , Theodore Kypraios , Simon P. Preston

The recently published analytic probability density function for the mildly non-linear cosmic density field within spherical cells is used to build a simple but accurate maximum likelihood estimate for the redshift evolution of the variance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-25 S. Codis , C. Pichon , F. Bernardeau , C. Uhlemann , S. Prunet

We present the new ARTEMIS Emulator suite of high resolution (baryon mass of $2.23 \times 10^{4}$ $h^{-1}$M$_{\odot}$) zoom-in simulations of Milky Way mass systems. Here, three haloes from the original ARTEMIS sample have been rerun…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2024-08-23 Shaun T. Brown , Azadeh Fattahi , Ian G. McCarthy , Andreea S. Font , Kyle A. Oman , Alexander H. Riley