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This paper deals with the problem of quantifying the approximation a probability measure by means of an empirical (in a wide sense) random probability measure, depending on the first n terms of a sequence of random elements. In Section 2,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-23 Emanuele Dolera , Eugenio Regazzini

Multiplicative noise models are often used instead of additive noise models in cases in which the noise variance depends on the state. Furthermore, when Poisson distributions with relatively small counts are approximated with normal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Jari P. Kaipio

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence of nonparametric binary and Poisson regression under possible model misspecification, assuming general stochastic process prior with appropriate properties. Our model setup and objective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Let $\xi$ be the stationary occupation field generated by a Poisson system of independent simple symmetric random walks on $\mathbb Z$ in space--time dimension $1+1$. For a finite set $A\subset\mathbb Z$, we consider the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ao Huang , Guanglin Rang , Zhonggen Su

We propose a novel coupling inequality of the min-max type for two random matrices with finite absolute third moments, which generalizes the quantitative versions of the well-known inequalities by Gordon. Previous results have calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Zijun Chen , Yiming Chen , Chengfu Wei

The existence of the scaling limit and its universality, for correlations between zeros of {\it Gaussian} random polynomials, or more generally, {\it Gaussian} random sections of powers of a line bundle over a compact manifold has been…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Pavel M. Bleher , Xiaojun Di

Let $X$ be a centered random variable with unit variance, zero third moment, and such that $E[X^4] \ge 3$. Let $\{F_n : n\geq 1\}$ denote a normalized sequence of homogeneous sums of fixed degree $d\geq 2$, built from independent copies of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati , Guillaume Poly , Rosaria Simone

Estimating mutual information (MI) from samples is a fundamental problem in statistics, machine learning, and data analysis. Recently it was shown that a popular class of non-parametric MI estimators perform very poorly for strongly…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-18 Shuyang Gao , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be a sequence of independent random points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with common Lebesgue density $f$. Under some conditions on $f$, we obtain a Poisson limit theorem, as $n \to \infty$, for the number of large probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Nicolas Chenavier , Norbert Henze , Moritz Otto

This paper focuses on the size-biased permutation of $n$ independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) positive random variables. This is a finite dimensional analogue of the size-biased permutation of ranked jumps of a subordinator…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Jim Pitman , Ngoc M. Tran

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

Bayesian tests on the symmetry of the generalized von Mises model for planar directions (Gatto and Jammalamadaka, 2007) are introduced. The generalized von Mises distribution is a flexible model that can be axially symmetric or asymmetric,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Sara Salvador , Riccardo Gatto

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

Large sample size equivalence between the celebrated {\it approximated} Good-Turing estimator of the probability to discover a species already observed a certain number of times (Good, 1953) and the modern Bayesian nonparametric counterpart…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Annalisa Cerquetti

We establish a general Berry-Esseen type bound which gives optimal bounds in many situations under suitable moment assumptions. By combining the general bound with Palm theory, we deduce a new error bound for assessing the accuracy of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin , Aihua Xia

In this work, the probability of an event under some joint distribution is bounded by measuring it with the product of the marginals instead (which is typically easier to analyze) together with a measure of the dependence between the two…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar , Ibrahim Issa

The sum of $N$ sufficiently strongly correlated random variables will not in general be Gaussian distributed in the limit N\to\infty. We revisit examples of sums x that have recently been put forward as instances of variables obeying a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 H. J. Hilhorst , G. Schehr

The generalised random graph contains $n$ vertices with positive i.i.d. weights. The probability of adding an edge between two vertices is increasing in their weights. We require the weight distribution to have finite second moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Matthias Lienau

Sums of independent, bounded random variables concentrate around their expectation approximately as well a Gaussian of the same variance. Well known results of this form include the Bernstein, Hoeffding, and Chernoff inequalities and many…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman