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We study a system of $N$ qubits with a random Hamiltonian obtained by drawing coupling constants from Gaussian distributions in various ways. This results in a rich class of systems which include the GUE and the fixed $q$ SYK theories. Our…
In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…
Let $\bX=\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ and $\bY=\{Y_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ be two independent random sequences. We obtain rates of convergence to the normal law of randomly weighted self-normalized sums $$ \psi_n(\bX,\bY)=\sum_{i=1}^nX_iY_i/V_n,\quad…
There are numerous applications which involve modeling multi-dimensional count data, notably in actuarial science and risk management. When such data exhibit an excess of zeros, common count models are no longer suitable. With multivariate…
We consider joint inversion for two or more unknown parameters from observational data in the Bayesian framework. Standard approaches often either treat the parameters as independent or impose structural similarity through regularisation…
We prove a $pre$-$asymptotic$ bound on the total variation distance between the uniform distribution over two types of undirected graphs with $n$ nodes. One distribution places a prescribed number of $k_T$ triangles and $k_S$ edges not…
A well-known discovery of Feige's is the following: Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be nonnegative independent random variables, with $\mathbb{E}[X_i] \leq 1 \;\forall i$, and let $X = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$. Then for any $n$, \[\Pr[X < \mathbb{E}[X] +…
We consider the Gaussian approximation for functionals of a Poisson process that are expressible as sums of region-stabilizing (determined by the points of the process within some specified regions) score functions and provide a bound on…
The central limit theorem provides the theoretical foundation for the universality of the normal distribution: under broad conditions, the asymptotic distribution of a sum of independent random variables approaches a Gaussian. Yet, physical…
Bivariate count data arise in several different disciplines (epidemiology, marketing, sports statistics, etc., to name but a few) and the bivariate Poisson distribution which is a generalization of the Poisson distribution plays an…
Overdispersed count data are modelled with likelihood and non-likelihood approaches. Likelihood approaches include the Poisson mixtures with three distributions, the gamma, the lognormal, and the inverse Gaussian distributions.…
We prove an exact fourth moment bound for the normal approximation of random variables belonging to the Wiener chaos of a general Poisson random measure. Such a result -- that has been elusive for several years -- shows that the so-called…
A coupling method is developed for univariate extreme value theory , providing an alternative to the use of the tail empirical/quantile processes. Emphasizing the Peak-over-Threshold approach that approximates the distribution above high…
Motivated by the need, in some Bayesian likelihood free inference problems, of imputing a multivariate counting distribution based on its vector of means and variance-covariance matrix, we define a generic multivariate discrete…
We discuss Bayesian inference for a known-mean Gaussian model with a compound symmetric variance-covariance matrix. Since the space of such matrices is a linear subspace of that of positive definite matrices, we utilize the methods of…
We study the normal approximation of functionals of Poisson measures having the form of a finite sum of multiple integrals. When the integrands are nonnegative, our results yield necessary and sufficient conditions for central limit…
The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…
Considering two random variables with different laws to which we only have access through finite size iid samples, we address how to reweight the first sample so that its empirical distribution converges towards the true law of the second…
Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…
We consider the distribution of cycle counts in a random regular graph, which is closely linked to the graph's spectral properties. We broaden the asymptotic regime in which the cycle counts are known to be approximately Poisson, and we…