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The geometric sum plays a significant role in risk theory and reliability theory \cite{Kala97} and a prototypical example of the geometric sum is R\'enyi's theorem~\cite{Renyi56} saying a sequence of suitably parameterised geometric sums…
Two new information-theoretic methods are introduced for establishing Poisson approximation inequalities. First, using only elementary information-theoretic techniques it is shown that, when $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ is the sum of the (possibly…
We propose a new functional analytic approach to Stein's method of exchangeable pairs that does not require the pair at hand to satisfy any approximate linear regression property. We make use of this theory in order to derive abstract…
This paper derives a new strong Gaussian approximation bound for the sum of independent random vectors. The approach relies on the optimal transport theory and yields \textit{explicit} dependence on the dimension size $p$ and the sample…
We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…
Estimates are constructed for the deviation of the concentration functions of sums of independent random variables with finite variances from the folded normal distribution function without any assumptions concerning the existence of the…
We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better…
We use the Stein-Chen method to prove new explicit inequalities for the total variation, Wasserstein and local distances between the distribution of a random diagonal sum of a Bernoulli matrix and a Poisson distribution. Approximation…
We overview results on the topic of Poisson approximation that are missed in existing surveys. The topic of Poisson approximation to the distribution of a sum of integer-valued random variables is presented as well. We do not restrict…
We prove several new results on the Hamming weight of bounded uniform and small-bias distributions. We exhibit bounded-uniform distributions whose weight is anti-concentrated, matching existing concentration inequalities. This construction…
It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…
This article derives quantitative limit theorems for multivariate Poisson and Poisson process approximations. Employing the solution of Stein's equation for Poisson random variables, we obtain an explicit bound for the multivariate Poisson…
We prove the Simons-Johnson theorem for the sums $S_n$ of $m$-dependent random variables, with exponential weights and limiting compound Poisson distribution $\CP(s,\lambda)$. More precisely, we give sufficient conditions for…
The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…
Part I of this series (arXiv:2602.09029) develops a sharp Gaussian (LAN/GDP) limit theory for neighboring shuffle experiments when the local randomizer is fixed and has full support bounded away from zero. The present paper characterizes…
Let $(X_{i}, i\in J)$ be a family of locally dependent nonnegative integer-valued random variables, and consider the sum $W=\sum\nolimits_{i\in J}X_i$. We first establish a general error upper bound for $d_{TV}(W, M)$ using Stein's method,…
Under the assumption that the distribution of a nonnegative random variable $X$ admits a bounded coupling with its size biased version, we prove simple and strong concentration bounds. In particular the upper tail probability is shown to…
Let $X_0$ be a non-constant random variable with finite variance. Given an integer $k\ge2$, define a sequence $\{X_n\}_{n=1}^\infty$ of approximately linear recursions with small perturbations $\{\Delta_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ by $$X_{n+1} =…
We prove abstract bounds on the Wasserstein and Kolmogorov distances between non-randomly centered random sums of real i.i.d. random variables with a finite third moment and the standard normal distribution. Except for the case of mean zero…
New lower bounds on the total variation distance between the distribution of a sum of independent Bernoulli random variables and the Poisson random variable (with the same mean) are derived via the Chen-Stein method. The new bounds rely on…