English

Universal Shuffle Asymptotics, Part II: Non-Gaussian Limits for Shuffle Privacy -- Poisson, Skellam, and Compound-Poisson Regimes

Statistics Theory 2026-03-12 v1 Information Theory math.IT Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Part I of this series (arXiv:2602.09029) develops a sharp Gaussian (LAN/GDP) limit theory for neighboring shuffle experiments when the local randomizer is fixed and has full support bounded away from zero. The present paper characterizes the first universality-breaking frontier: critical sequences of increasingly concentrated local randomizers for which classical Lindeberg conditions fail and the shuffle score exhibits rare macroscopic jumps. For shuffled binary randomized response with local privacy ε0=ε0(n)\varepsilon_0 = \varepsilon_0(n), we prove experiment-level convergence (in Le Cam distance) to explicit shift limit experiments: a Poisson-shift limit for the canonical neighboring pair when exp(ε0(n))/nc2\exp(\varepsilon_0(n))/n \to c^2, and a Skellam-shift limit for proportional compositions k/nπ(0,1)k/n \to \pi \in (0,1) in the same scaling, including an explicit disappearance of the two-sided δ\delta-floor away from boundary compositions. For general finite alphabets, we introduce a sparse-error critical regime and prove a multivariate compound-Poisson / independent Poisson vector limit for the centered released histogram, yielding a multivariate Poisson-shift experiment and an explicit limiting (ε,δ)(\varepsilon, \delta) curve as a multivariate Poisson series. Together with Part I, these results yield a three-regime picture (Gaussian/GDP, critical Poisson/Skellam/compound-Poisson, and super-critical no privacy) under convergent macroscopic scalings.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.10073,
  title  = {Universal Shuffle Asymptotics, Part II: Non-Gaussian Limits for Shuffle Privacy -- Poisson, Skellam, and Compound-Poisson Regimes},
  author = {Alex Shvets},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.10073},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

35 pages. Part II of a series; Part I is arXiv:2602.09029