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Complex phenomena can be better understood when broken down into a limited number of simpler "components". Linear statistical methods such as the principal component analysis and its variants are widely used across various fields of applied…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-13 Iacopo Tirelli , Miguel Alfonso Mendez , Andrea Ianiro , Stefano Discetti

This paper studies high-dimensional curve time series with common stochastic trends. A dual functional factor model structure is adopted with a high-dimensional factor model for the observed curve time series and a low-dimensional factor…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Degui Li , Yu-Ning Li , Peter C. B. Phillips

Causal inference is a fundamental research topic for discovering the cause-effect relationships in many disciplines. However, not all algorithms are equally well-suited for a given dataset. For instance, some approaches may only be able to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Zhipeng Ma , Marco Kemmerling , Daniel Buschmann , Chrismarie Enslin , Daniel Lütticke , Robert H. Schmitt

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

In this paper, we set up the theoretical foundations for a high-dimensional functional factor model approach in the analysis of large cross-sections (panels) of functional time series (FTS). We first establish a representation result…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Shahin Tavakoli , Gilles Nisol , Marc Hallin

When modelling time series, it is common to decompose observed variation into a "signal" process, the process of interest, and "noise", representing nuisance factors that obfuscate the signal. To separate signal from noise, assumptions must…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-11 Richard Creswell , Ben Lambert , Chon Lok Lei , Martin Robinson , David Gavaghan

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

I introduce Forecastable Component Analysis (ForeCA), a novel dimension reduction technique for temporally dependent signals. Based on a new forecastability measure, ForeCA finds an optimal transformation to separate a multivariate time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-07 Georg M. Goerg

This article discusses aeroacoustic imaging methods based on correlation measurements in the frequency domain. Standard methods in this field assume that the estimated correlation matrix is superimposed with additive white noise. In this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-30 Hans-Georg Raumer , Carsten Spehr , Thorsten Hohage , Daniel Ernst

This paper examines a general class of noisy matrix completion tasks where the goal is to estimate a matrix from observations obtained at a subset of its entries, each of which is subject to random noise or corruption. Our specific focus is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Akshay Soni , Swayambhoo Jain , Jarvis Haupt , Stefano Gonella

Tensor Factor Models (TFM) are appealing dimension reduction tools for high-order large-dimensional tensor time series, and have wide applications in economics, finance and medical imaging. In this paper, we propose a projection estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Yong He , Lingxiao Li , Lorenzo Trapani

The factor analysis model is a statistical model where a certain number of hidden random variables, called factors, affect linearly the behaviour of another set of observed random variables, with additional random noise. The main assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-06 Muhammad Ardiyansyah , Luca Sodomaco

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

The recent explosion in the availability of echosounder data from diverse ocean platforms has created unprecedented opportunities to observe the marine ecosystems at broad scales. However, the critical lack of methods capable of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-30 Wu-Jung Lee , Valentina Staneva

Score-based stochastic denoising models have recently been demonstrated as powerful machine learning tools for conditional and unconditional image generation. The existing methods are based on a forward stochastic process wherein the…

Factor analysis is a critical component of high dimensional biological data analysis. However, modern biological data contain two key features that irrevocably corrupt existing methods. First, these data, which include longitudinal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-24 Chris McKennan

A gamma process dynamic Poisson factor analysis model is proposed to factorize a dynamic count matrix, whose columns are sequentially observed count vectors. The model builds a novel Markov chain that sends the latent gamma random variables…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-31 Ayan Acharya , Joydeep Ghosh , Mingyuan Zhou

In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix to be an information-plus-noise-type covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectra of the underlying true covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

We study the performance of transformer architectures for multivariate time-series forecasting in low-data regimes consisting of only a few years of daily observations. Using synthetically generated processes with known temporal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Cyril Garcia , Guillaume Remy

In our previous work, a reduced order model (ROM) for a stochastic system was made, where noisy data was projected onto principal component analysis (PCA)-derived basis vectors to obtain an accurate reconstruction of the noise-free data.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Indika Udagedara , Brian Helenbrook , Aaron Luttman , Jared Catenacci