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We study sparse principal component analysis for high dimensional vector autoregressive time series under a doubly asymptotic framework, which allows the dimension $d$ to scale with the series length $T$. We treat the transition matrix of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 Zhaoran Wang , Fang Han , Han Liu

This paper considers a noisy data structure recovery problem. The goal is to investigate the following question: Given a noisy observation of a permuted data set, according to which permutation was the original data sorted? The focus is on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Minoh Jeong , Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , H. Vincent Poor

Time series classification with missing data is a prevalent issue in time series analysis, as temporal data often contain missing values in practical applications. The traditional two-stage approach, which handles imputation and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Pengshuai Yao , Mengna Liu , Xu Cheng , Fan Shi , Huan Li , Xiufeng Liu , Shengyong Chen

Matrix factorization is a powerful data analysis tool. It has been used in multivariate time series analysis, leading to the decomposition of the series in a small set of latent factors. However, little is known on the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Marie

We consider a statistical model for matrix factorization in a regime where the rank of the two hidden matrix factors grows linearly with their dimension and their product is corrupted by additive noise. Despite various approaches,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Farzad Pourkamali , Nicolas Macris

The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-14 Fani Tsapeli , Peter Tino , Mirco Musolesi

The literature on high-dimensional functional data focuses on either the dependence over time or the correlation among functional variables. In this paper, we propose a factor-guided functional principal component analysis (FaFPCA) method…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-23 Shoudao Wen , Huazhen Lin

This paper proposes new estimators of the number of factors for a generalised factor model with more relaxed assumptions than the strict factor model. Under the framework of large cross-sections $N$ and large time dimensions $T$, we first…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Rui Wang , Dandan Jiang

We develop asymptotic theory for principal component analysis (PCA) of a high-dimensional factor model in which the working dimension $R$ is fixed and only required to satisfy $R \ge r$, where $r$ is the true number of factors. Building on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Yuan Liao , Xin Tong , Wanjie Wang , Dacheng Xiu

Models with latent factors recently attract a lot of attention. However, most investigations focus on linear regression models and thus cannot capture nonlinearity. To address this issue, we propose a novel Factor Augmented Single-Index…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Yanmei Shi , Meiling Hao , Yanlin Tang , Heng Lian , Xu Guo

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction in the analysis of multivariate data. This is achieved through decomposition of a p x p covariance matrix into the sum of two components. Through a latent factor representation, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Sarah Elizabeth Heaps , Ian Hyla Jermyn

We consider reduced-rank modeling of the white noise covariance matrix in a large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) model. We first propose the reduced-rank covariance estimator under the setting where independent observations are…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-09 Richard A. Davis , Pengfei Zang , Tian Zheng

Large-scale matrix data has been widely discovered and continuously studied in various fields recently. Considering the multi-level factor structure and utilizing the matrix structure, we propose a multilevel matrix factor model with both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Yuteng Zhang , Yongchang Hui , Junrong Song , Shurong Zheng

Many scientific and economic applications involve the statistical learning of high-dimensional functional time series, where the number of functional variables is comparable to, or even greater than, the number of serially dependent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Cheng Chen , Xinghao Qiao , Qiwei Yao

The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

There are two approaches to time series approximate factor models: the static factor model, where the factors are loaded contemporaneously by the common component, and the Generalised Dynamic Factor Model, where the factors are loaded with…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-28 Philipp Gersing , Matteo Barigozzi , Christoph Rust , Manfred Deistler

It is shown, with two sets of indicators that separately load on two distinct factors, independent of one another conditional on the past, that if it is the case that at least one of the factors causally affects the other, then, in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-18 Tyler J. VanderWeele , Charles J. K. Batty

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

We consider to model matrix time series based on a tensor CP-decomposition. Instead of using an iterative algorithm which is the standard practice for estimating CP-decompositions, we propose a new and one-pass estimation procedure based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jinyuan Chang , Jing He , Lin Yang , Qiwei Yao

Large-dimensional factor model has drawn much attention in the big-data era, in order to reduce the dimensionality and extract underlying features using a few latent common factors. Conventional methods for estimating the factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang