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We propose a new estimator of high-dimensional spot volatility matrices satisfying a low-rank plus sparse structure from noisy and asynchronous high-frequency data collected for an ultra-large number of assets. The noise processes are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Haoxuan Zhang

We propose tensor time series imputation when the missing pattern in the tensor data can be general, as long as any two data positions along a tensor fibre are both observed for enough time points. The method is based on a tensor time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Zetai Cen , Clifford Lam

White noise is a fundamental and fairly well understood stochastic process that conforms the conceptual basis for many other processes, as well as for the modeling of time series. Here we push a fresh perspective toward white noise that,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-01-04 Alvaro Diaz-Ruelas

We implement gradient-based variational inference routines for Wishart and inverse Wishart processes, which we apply as Bayesian models for the dynamic, heteroskedastic covariance matrix of a multivariate time series. The Wishart and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Creighton Heaukulani , Mark van der Wilk

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

Recently, matrix-valued time series data have attracted significant attention in the literature with the recognition of threshold nonlinearity representing a significant advance. However, given the fact that a matrix is a two-array…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Cheng Yu , Dong Li , Xinyu Zhang , Howell Tong

Matrix factor models have been growing popular dimension reduction tools for large-dimensional matrix time series. However, the heteroscedasticity of the idiosyncratic components has barely received any attention. Starting from the pseudo…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-03 Yong He , Yujie Hou , Haixia Liu , Yalin Wang

This paper is motivated by modeling the cycle-to-cycle variability associated with the resistive switching operation behind memristors. As the data are by nature curves, functional principal component analysis is a suitable candidate to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 C. Acal , A. M. Aguilera , F. J. Alonso , J. E. Ruiz-Castro , J. B. Roldán

We tackle the challenges of modeling high-dimensional data sets, particularly those with latent low-dimensional structures hidden within complex, non-linear, and noisy relationships. Our approach enables a seamless integration of concepts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-17 Zichuan Guo , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Factor analysis is a widely used statistical tool in many scientific disciplines, such as psychology, economics, and sociology. As observations linked by networks become increasingly common, incorporating network structures into factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-27 Jinming Li , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

In the context of time series forecasting, it is a common practice to evaluate multiple methods and choose one of these methods or an ensemble for producing the best forecasts. However, choosing among different ensembles over multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Himanshi Charotia , Abhishek Garg , Gaurav Dhama , Naman Maheshwari

We propose the first comprehensive treatment of high-dimensional time series factor models with multiple change-points in their second-order structure. We operate under the most flexible definition of piecewise stationarity, and estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

High-dimensional, higher-order tensor data are gaining prominence in a variety of fields, including but not limited to computer vision and network analysis. Tensor factor models, induced from noisy versions of tensor decompositions or…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-16 Xu Zhang , Guodong Li , Catherine C. Liu , Jianhua Guo

Factor analysis aims to describe high dimensional random vectors by means of a small number of unknown common factors. In mathematical terms, it is required to decompose the covariance matrix $\Sigma$ of the random vector as the sum of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-02 Valentina Ciccone , Augusto Ferrante , Mattia Zorzi

Motivated by Tucker tensor decomposition, this paper imposes low-rank structures to the column and row spaces of coefficient matrices in a multivariate infinite-order vector autoregression (VAR), which leads to a supervised factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-04 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Guodong Li

The classical vector autoregressive model is a fundamental tool for multivariate time series analysis. However, it involves too many parameters when the number of time series and lag order are even moderately large. This paper proposes to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-04 Di Wang , Yao Zheng , Heng Lian , Guodong Li

Although most transformer-based time series forecasting models primarily depend on endogenous inputs, recent state-of-the-art approaches have significantly improved performance by incorporating external information through exogenous inputs.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Mustafa Kamal , Niyaz Bin Hashem , Robin Krambroeckers , Nabeel Mohammed , Shafin Rahman

We study semiparametric factor models in high-dimensional panels where the factor loadings consist of a nonparametric component explained by observed covariates and an idiosyncratic component capturing unobserved heterogeneity. A key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Sijie Zheng

We consider continuous-time models with a large panel of moment conditions, where the structural parameter depends on a set of characteristics, whose effects are of interest. The leading example is the linear factor model in financial…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Yuan Liao , Xiye Yang

For factor model, the involved covariance matrix often has no row sparse structure because the common factors may lead some variables to strongly associate with many others. Under the ultra-high dimensional paradigm, this feature causes…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-22 Junlong Zhao , Hongyu Zhao , Lixing Zhu
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