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Off-policy evaluation (OPE) is a critical challenge in robust decision-making that seeks to assess the performance of a new policy using data collected under a different policy. However, the existing OPE methodologies suffer from several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Muhammad Faaiz Taufiq

Models are often given in terms of differential equations to represent physical systems. In the presence of uncertainty, accurate prediction of the behavior of these systems using the models requires understanding the effect of uncertainty…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-12 Subhayan De

Optical flow estimation can be formulated as an end-to-end supervised learning problem, which yields estimates with a superior accuracy-runtime tradeoff compared to alternative methodology. In this paper, we make such networks estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-21 Eddy Ilg , Özgün Çiçek , Silvio Galesso , Aaron Klein , Osama Makansi , Frank Hutter , Thomas Brox

Estimating the difficulty of multiple-choice questions would be great help for educators who must spend substantial time creating and piloting stimuli for their tests, and for learners who want to practice. Supervised approaches to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Leonidas Zotos , Hedderik van Rijn , Malvina Nissim

Interest has been growing in decision-focused machine learning methods which train models to account for how their predictions are used in downstream optimization problems. Doing so can often improve performance on subsequent decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Carlos Patiño , Yewon Byun , Steven Wu , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

Uncertainty is a key feature of any machine learning model and is particularly important in neural networks, which tend to be overconfident. This overconfidence is worrying under distribution shifts, where the model performance silently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

Choices in scientific research and management require balancing multiple, often competing objectives.Multiple-objective optimization (MOO) provides a unifying framework for solving multiple objective problems. Model selection is a critical…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-26 Perry Williams , William Kendall , Mevin Hooten

This paper delves into the challenging issues in uncertain multi-objective optimization, where uncertainty permeates nonsmooth nonconvex objective and constraint functions. In this context, we investigate highly robust (weakly efficient)…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Morteza Rahimi , Majid Soleimani-damaneh

Uncertainty quantification is a key pillar of trustworthy machine learning. It enables safe reactions under unsafe inputs, like predicting only when the machine learning model detects sufficient evidence, discarding anomalous data, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Michael Kirchhof

The difficulty of solving a multi-objective optimization problem is impacted by the number of objectives to be optimized. The presence of many objectives typically introduces a number of challenges that affect the choice/design of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-08 Richard Allmendinger , Andrzej Jaszkiewicz , Arnaud Liefooghe , Christiane Tammer

Multi-objective optimization involving Quadratic Unconstrained Binary Optimization (QUBO) problems arises in various domains. A fundamental challenge in this context is the effective balancing of multiple objectives, each potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Loong Kuan Lee , Thore Gerlach , Nico Piatkowski

Binary classification models which can assign probabilities to categories such as "the tissue is 75% likely to be tumorous" or "the chemical is 25% likely to be toxic" are well understood statistically, but their utility as an input to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Damjan Krstajic , Ljubomir Buturovic , Simon Thomas , David E Leahy

Machine learning (ML) has been leveraged to tackle a diverse range of tasks in almost all branches of nuclear engineering. Many of the successes in ML applications can be attributed to the recent performance breakthroughs in deep learning,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-25 Xu Wu , Lesego E. Moloko , Pavel M. Bokov , Gregory K. Delipei , Joshua Kaizer , Kostadin N. Ivanov

We consider the optimization of an uncertain objective over continuous and multi-dimensional decision spaces in problems in which we are only provided with observational data. We propose a novel algorithmic framework that is tractable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Treating uncertainties in models is essential in many fields of science and engineering. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) on complex and computationally costly numerical models necessitates a combination of efficient model solvers, advanced…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Linus Seelinger , Anne Reinarz , Jean Benezech , Mikkel Bue Lykkegaard , Lorenzo Tamellini , Robert Scheichl

Uncertainty quantification is essential for the reliable deployment of machine learning models to high-stakes application domains. Uncertainty quantification is all the more challenging when training distribution and test distribution are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Yaodong Yu , Stephen Bates , Yi Ma , Michael I. Jordan

We explore the application of uncertainty quantification methods to agent-based models (ABMs) using a simple sheep and wolf predator-prey model. This work serves as a tutorial on how techniques like emulation can be powerful tools in this…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-09-26 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , James Salter

We consider a combined problem of teaming and scheduling of multi-skilled employees that have to perform jobs with uncertain qualification requirements. We propose two modeling approaches that generate solutions that are robust to possible…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-03 Yulia Anoshkina , Marc Goerigk , Frank Meisel

Multimodal foundation models offer a promising framework for robotic perception and planning by processing sensory inputs to generate actionable plans. However, addressing uncertainty in both perception (sensory interpretation) and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Neel P. Bhatt , Yunhao Yang , Rohan Siva , Daniel Milan , Ufuk Topcu , Zhangyang Wang

Modern data-driven applications that make real-time decisions increasingly depend on advanced sensors which use pre-stored calibration data. In such applications, accurate characterization of sensor output uncertainty is important for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Orestis Kaparounakis , Phillip Stanley-Marbell