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Uncertainty quantification is one of the most crucial tasks to obtain trustworthy and reliable machine learning models for decision making. However, most research in this domain has only focused on problems with small label spaces and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Jyun-Yu Jiang , Wei-Cheng Chang , Jiong Zhong , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Hsiang-Fu Yu

Methodologies for incorporating the uncertainties characteristic of data-driven object detectors into object tracking algorithms are explored. Object tracking methods rely on measurement error models, typically in the form of measurement…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-04 Anish Muthali , Forrest Laine , Claire Tomlin

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

This paper presents a framework for the representation of uncertainty in the estimates for software design projects for use throughout the entire project lifecycle. The framework is flexible in order to accommodate uncertainty in the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Andy M. Connor

The application of machine learning (ML) techniques in wireless communication domain has seen a tremendous growth over the years especially in the wireless sensing domain. However, the questions surrounding the ML model's inference…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-13 Amit Kachroo , Sai Prashanth Chinnapalli

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

For safe and reliable deployment in the real world, autonomous agents must elicit appropriate levels of trust from human users. One method to build trust is to have agents assess and communicate their own competencies for performing given…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Aastha Acharya , Rebecca Russell , Nisar R. Ahmed

Modern computers enable methods for design optimization that account for uncertainty in the system---so-called optimization under uncertainty. We propose a metric for OUU that measures the distance between a designer-specified probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-08-10 Pranay Seshadri , Paul Constantine , Gianluca Iaccarino , Geoffrey Parks

Uncertainty plays a crucial role in the machine learning field. Both model trustworthiness and performance require the understanding of uncertainty, especially for models used in high-stake applications where errors can cause cataclysmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Shuo Chen

The comprehensive integration of machine learning healthcare models within clinical practice remains suboptimal, notwithstanding the proliferation of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. A predominant factor hindering…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Ling Huang , Su Ruan , Yucheng Xing , Mengling Feng

We present batching as an omnibus device for uncertainty quantification using simulation output. We consider the classical context of a simulationist performing uncertainty quantification on an estimator $\theta_n$ (of an unknown fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Yongseok Jeon , Yi Chu , Raghu Pasupathy , Sara Shashaani

Numerous real-world applications of uncertain multiobjective optimization problems (UMOPs) can be found in science, engineering, business, and management. To handle the solution of uncertain optimization problems, robust optimization is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Shubham Kumar , Nihar Kumar Mahatoa , Debdas Ghosh

Several multiscale methods account for sub-grid scale features using coarse scale basis functions. For example, in the Multiscale Finite Volume method the coarse scale basis functions are obtained by solving a set of local problems over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Shing Chan , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

In a world where more decisions are made using artificial intelligence, it is of utmost importance to ensure these decisions are well-grounded. Neural networks are the modern building blocks for artificial intelligence. Modern neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Mohamad Al Shaar , Nils Ekström , Gustav Gille , Reza Rezvan , Ivan Wely

In this paper, we study the problem of uncertainty estimation and calibration for LLMs. We begin by formulating the uncertainty estimation problem, a relevant yet underexplored area in existing literature. We then propose a supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Linyu Liu , Yu Pan , Xiaocheng Li , Guanting Chen

If Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial to achieve trustworthy Machine Learning (ML), most UQ methods suffer from disparate and inconsistent evaluation protocols. We claim this inconsistency results from the unclear requirements the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-28 Victor Bouvier , Simona Maggio , Alexandre Abraham , Léo Dreyfus-Schmidt

Fast and accurate predictions of uncertainties in the computed dose are crucial for the determination of robust treatment plans in radiation therapy. This requires the solution of particle transport problems with uncertain parameters or…

Medical Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Pia Stammer , Lucas Burigo , Oliver Jäkel , Martin Frank , Niklas Wahl

Multi-objective optimization (MOO) aims at finding a set of optimal configurations for a given set of objectives. A recent line of work applies MOO methods to the typical Machine Learning (ML) setting, which becomes multi-objective if a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Michael Ruchte , Josif Grabocka

This paper presents a new robustness concept for uncertain multi-objective optimization problems. More precisely, in the paper the so-called recovery-to-efficiency robustness concept is proposed and investigated. Several approaches for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-23 El-Ghazali Talbi , Raca Todosijevic