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The vector autoregressive (VAR) model is a powerful tool in modeling complex time series and has been exploited in many fields. However, fitting high dimensional VAR model poses some unique challenges: On one hand, the dimensionality,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-30 Fang Han , Huanran Lu , Han Liu

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models are important tools for the analysis of multivariate time series. This paper focuses on high-dimensional time series and on the different regularized estimation procedures proposed for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis

The Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) model is fundamental to the study of multivariate time series. Although VAR models are intensively investigated by many researchers, practitioners often show more interest in analyzing VARX models that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-13 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

High dimensional Vector Autoregressions (VAR) have received a lot of interest recently due to novel applications in health, engineering, finance and the social sciences. Three issues arise when analyzing VAR's: (a) The high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

The objective of transfer learning is to enhance estimation and inference in a target data by leveraging knowledge gained from additional sources. Recent studies have explored transfer learning for independent observations in complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-23 Mingliang Ma Abolfazl Safikhani

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on…

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used for causal discovery and forecasting in multivariate time series analysis. In the high-dimensional setting, which is increasingly common in fields such as neuroscience and econometrics,…

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix in the high-dimensional time-varying vector autoregression (TV-VAR) models. Our model builds on a general class of locally stationary VAR processes that evolve smoothly in time. We propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Xin Ding , Ziyi Qiu , Xiaohui Chen

High-dimensional time series datasets are becoming increasingly common in many areas of biological and social sciences. Some important applications include gene regulatory network reconstruction using time course gene expression data, brain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Sumanta Basu , David S. Matteson

Simultaneous inference for high-dimensional non-Gaussian time series is always considered to be a challenging problem. Such tasks require not only robust estimation of the coefficients in the random process, but also deriving limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

We improve upon the two-stage sparse vector autoregression (sVAR) method in Davis et al. (2016) by proposing an alternative two-stage modified sVAR method which relies on time series graphical lasso to estimate sparse inverse spectral…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-06 Aramayis Dallakyan , Rakheon Kim , Mohsen Pourahmadi

High dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models require a large number of parameters to be estimated and may suffer of inferential problems. We propose a new Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) Lasso prior (BNP-Lasso) for high-dimensional VAR…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Luca Rossini

High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models have numerous applications in fields such as econometrics, biology, climatology, among others. While prior research has mainly focused on linear VAR models, these approaches can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Yuefeng Han , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

Recent economic events, including the global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic, have exposed limitations in linear Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) models for forecasting and structural analysis. Nonlinear dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-07 Yiyong Luo , Brooks Paige , Jim Griffin

We develop a Bayesian vector autoregressive (VAR) model with multivariate stochastic volatility that is capable of handling vast dimensional information sets. Three features are introduced to permit reliable estimation of the model. First,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-12 Gregor Kastner , Florian Huber

As a special infinite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) model, the vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) model can capture much richer temporal patterns than the widely used finite-order VAR model. However, its practicality has long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Yao Zheng
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