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Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

The Lasso has become a benchmark data analysis procedure, and numerous variants have been proposed in the literature. Although the Lasso formulations are stated so that overall prediction error is optimized, no full control over the…

In spite of the wealth of literature on the theoretical properties of the Lasso, there is very little known when the value of the tuning parameter is chosen using the data, even though this is what actually happens in practice. We give a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Jafar Jafarov

The Lasso is a popular model selection and estimation procedure for linear models that enjoys nice theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the Lasso estimator for fitting autoregressive time series models. We adopt a double…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-09 Yuval Nardi , Alessandro Rinaldo

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

Accurate statistical inference in logistic regression models remains a critical challenge when the ratio between the number of parameters and sample size is not negligible. This is because approximations based on either classical asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-19 Qian Zhao , Emmanuel J. Candes

Bootstrapping is often applied to get confidence limits for semiparametric inference of a target parameter in the presence of nuisance parameters. Bootstrapping with replacement can be computationally expensive and problematic when…

We study the problem of detecting and locating change points in high-dimensional Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models, whose transition matrices exhibit low rank plus sparse structure. We first address the problem of detecting a single change…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-01 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

We consider the problem of fitting the parameters of a high-dimensional linear regression model. In the regime where the number of parameters $p$ is comparable to or exceeds the sample size $n$, a successful approach uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-04 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

With now well-recognized non-negligible model selection uncertainty, data analysts should no longer be satisfied with the output of a single final model from a model selection process, regardless of its sophistication. To improve…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 Chenglong Ye , Yi Yang , Yuhong Yang

Machine learning models are increasingly used to produce predictions that serve as input data in subsequent statistical analyses. For example, computer vision predictions of economic and environmental indicators based on satellite imagery…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Dan M. Kluger , Kerri Lu , Tijana Zrnic , Sherrie Wang , Stephen Bates

Accurate tuning of hyperparameters is crucial to ensure that models can generalise effectively across different settings. In this paper, we present theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter selection using variational Bayes in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabó

This paper explores the following question: what kind of statistical guarantees can be given when doing variable selection in high-dimensional models? In particular, we look at the error rates and power of some multi-stage regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-20 Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

Eliminating the effect of confounding in observational studies typically involves fitting a model for an outcome adjusted for covariates. When, as often, these covariates are high-dimensional, this necessitates the use of sparse estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Oliver Dukes , Stijn Vansteelandt

In this paper, we propose an abstract procedure for debiasing constrained or regularized potentially high-dimensional linear models. It is elementary to show that the proposed procedure can produce $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}$-confidence intervals…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Yufei Yi , Matey Neykov

We propose a new measure of variable importance in high-dimensional regression based on the change in the LASSO solution path when one covariate is left out. The proposed procedure provides a novel way to calculate variable importance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Xiangyang Cao , Karl Gregory , Dewei Wang

We propose a computationally intensive method, the random lasso method, for variable selection in linear models. The method consists of two major steps. In step 1, the lasso method is applied to many bootstrap samples, each using a set of…

Applications · Statistics 2011-04-19 Sijian Wang , Bin Nan , Saharon Rosset , Ji Zhu

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

We present Visual AutoRegressive modeling (VAR), a new generation paradigm that redefines the autoregressive learning on images as coarse-to-fine "next-scale prediction" or "next-resolution prediction", diverging from the standard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Keyu Tian , Yi Jiang , Zehuan Yuan , Bingyue Peng , Liwei Wang
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