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We introduce a Markov product structure for multivariate tail dependence functions, building upon the well-known Markov product for copulas. We investigate algebraic and monotonicity properties of this new product as well as its role in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Karl Friedrich Siburg , Christopher Strothmann

We consider a modulated process S which, conditional on a background process X, has independent increments. Assuming that S drifts to -infinity and that its increments (jumps) are heavy-tailed (in a sense made precise in the paper), we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-29 Sergey Foss , Takis Konstantopoulos , Stan Zachary

In this paper, we address rare-event simulation for heavy-tailed L\'evy processes with infinite activities. The presence of infinite activities poses a critical challenge, making it impractical to simulate or store the precise sample path…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-07 Xingyu Wang , Chang-Han Rhee

Markov-modulated L\'evy processes with two different regimes of restarting are studied. These regimes correspond to the completely renewed process and to the process of Markov modulation, accompanied by jumps. We give explicit expressions…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Nikita Ratanov

We give a sufficient condition for the exponential decay of the tail probability of a non-negative random variable. We consider the Laplace-Stieltjes transform of the probability distribution function of the random variable. We present a…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Kenji Nakagawa

We examine the rate of decay to the limit of the tail dependence coefficient of a bivariate skew t distribution which always displays asymptotic tail dependence. It contains as a special case the usual bivariate symmetric t distribution,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-05 Thomas Fung , Eugene Seneta

Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

The exact expression for the probability density $p_{_N}(x)$ for sums of a finite number $N$ of random independent terms is obtained. It is shown that the very tail of $p_{_N}(x)$ has a Gaussian form if and only if all the random terms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-29 Michael I. Tribelsky

The tail behavior of aggregates of heavy-tailed random vectors is known to be determined by the so-called principle of "one large jump'', be it for finite sums, random sums, or, L\'evy processes. We establish that, in fact, a more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-26 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

The extremal tail probabilities of moving sums in a marked Poisson random field is examined here. These sums are computed by adding up the weighted occurrences of events lying within a scanning set of fixed shape and size. Change of measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Hock Peng Chan

We construct the law of L\'{e}vy processes conditioned to stay positive under general hypotheses. We obtain a Williams type path decomposition at the minimum of these processes. This result is then applied to prove the weak convergence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Loïc Chaumont , Ron A. Doney

Our work aims to study the tail behaviour of weighted sums of the form $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} X_{i} \prod_{j=1}^{i}Y_{j}$, where $(X_{i}, Y_{i})$ are independent and identically distributed, with common joint distribution bivariate Sarmanov.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Krishanu Maulik , Moumanti Podder

We consider one-parameter families of random circle diffeomorphisms $g_{E,y}$ for which the unperturbed map $g_{0,\bar{0}}$ has a fixed point of order $2k$ and the dependence on the parameter $E$ is monotone. Under reasonable assumptions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Íris Emilsdóttir , Grigorii Monakov

We study the Integrated Density of States of one-dimensional random operators acting on $\ell^2(\mathbb Z)$ of the form $T + V_\omega$ where $T$ is a Laurent (also called bi-infinite Toeplitz) matrix and $V_\omega$ is an Anderson potential…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-10-26 Martin Gebert , Constanza Rojas-Molina

In this paper we consider a general L\'{e}vy process $X$ reflected at downward periodic barrier $A_t$ and constant upper barrier $K$ giving a process $V^K_t=X_t+L^A_t-L^K_t$. We find the expression for a loss rate defined by $l^K=\mathbb{E}…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-19 Zbigniew Palmowski , Przemysław Światek

We obtain first decay rates of probabilities of tails of multivariate polynomials built on independent random variables with heavy tails. Then we derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of the form $\sum_{Nt\geq n\geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

Gaussian random vectors exhibit the loss of dimension phenomena, which relate to their joint survival tail behaviour. Besides, the fact that the components of such vectors are light-tailed complicates the approximations of various…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-09 E. Hashorva

On the framework of the Linear Farmer's Model, we approach the indeterminacy of agents' behaviour by associating with each agent an unconditional probability for her to be active at each time step. We show that Pareto tailed returns can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Carvalho

Consider a critical branching L\'{e}vy process $\{X_t, t\ge 0\}$ with branching rate $\beta>0, $ offspring distribution $\{p_k:k\geq 0\}$ and spatial motion $\{\xi_t, \Pi_x\}$. For any $t\ge 0$, let $N_t$ be the collection of particles…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-10 Haojie Hou , Yiyang Jiang , Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song

This paper considers the tail asymptotics for a cumulative process $\{B(t); t \ge 0\}$ sampled at a heavy-tailed random time $T$. The main contribution of this paper is to establish several sufficient conditions for the asymptotic equality…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama