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Bitcoin being a safe haven asset is one of the traditional stories in the cryptocurrency community. However, during its existence and relevant presence, i.e. approximately since 2013, there has been no severe situation on the financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Ladislav Kristoufek

This study investigates the influence of monetary policy and monetary policy uncertainties on Bitcoin returns, utilizing monthly data of BTC, and MPU from July 2010 to August 2023, and employing the Markov Switching Means VAR (MSM-VAR)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

Researchers have used many different methods to detect the possibility of long-term dependence (long memory) in stock market returns, but evidence is in general mixed. In this paper, three different tests, (namely Rescaled Range (R/S), its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Adel Sharkasi , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

While the long-term effects of COVID-19 are yet to be determined, its immediate impact on crowdfunding is nonetheless significant. This study takes a computational approach to more deeply comprehend this change. Using a unique data set of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Junda Wang , Xupin Zhang , Jiebo Luo

The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

We model the dynamics of the cryptocurrency (CC) asset class via a stochastic volatility with correlated jumps (SVCJ) model with rolling-window parameter estimates. By analyzing the time-series of parameters, stylized patterns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-07 Konstantin Häusler , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

This work aims to analyse the predictability of price movements of cryptocurrencies on both hourly and daily data observed from January 2017 to January 2021, using deep learning algorithms. For our experiments, we used three sets of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-18 Marco Ortu , Nicola Uras , Claudio Conversano , Giuseppe Destefanis , Silvia Bartolucci

The rapid development of information technology, especially the Internet, has facilitated users with a quick and easy way to seek information. With these convenience offered by internet services, many individuals who initially invested in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Novan Fauzi Al Giffary , Feri Sulianta

This paper studies of the multifractal dynamics in 84 cryptocurrencies. It fills an important gap in the literature, by studying this market using two alternative multi-scaling methodologies. We find compelling evidence that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Aurelio F. Bariviera

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Over the last decade, the cryptocurrency market has experienced unprecedented growth, emerging as a prominent financial market. As this market rapidly evolves, it necessitates re-evaluating which cryptocurrencies command the market and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-31 Arnav Hiray , Pratvi Shah , Vishwa Shah , Agam Shah , Sudheer Chava , Mukesh Tiwari

The COVID-19 Omicron variant, reported to be the most immune evasive variant of COVID-19, is resulting in a surge of COVID-19 cases globally. This has caused schools, colleges, and universities in different parts of the world to transition…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Nirmalya Thakur

We present positive evidence of price stability of cryptocurrencies as a medium of exchange. For the sample years from 2016 to 2020, the prices of major cryptocurrencies are found to be stable, relative to major financial assets.…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-14 Tatsuru Kikuchi , Toranosuke Onishi , Kenichi Ueda

Commodity futures constitute an attractive asset class for portfolio managers. Propelled by their low correlation with other assets, commodities begin gaining popularity among investors, as they allow to capture diversification benefits.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-13 M. Belén Arouxet , Aurelio F. Bariviera , Verónica Pastor , Victoria Vampa

Digital currencies have become popular in the last decade due to their non-dependency and decentralized nature. The price of these currencies has seen a lot of fluctuations at times, which has increased the need for prediction. As their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-24 Ramin Mousa , Meysam Afrookhteh , Hooman Khaloo , Amir Ali Bengari , Gholamreza Heidary

The volatility and complex dynamics of cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges for accurate price forecasting. This research proposes a hybrid deep learning and machine learning model that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Mehul Gautam

In this paper, we study the possibility of inferring early warning indicators (EWIs) for periods of extreme bitcoin price volatility using features obtained from Bitcoin daily transaction graphs. We infer the low-dimensional representations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-08 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dijana Tolic , Matija Piskorec , Zhang Ce , Irena Vodenska

It is challenging to elucidate the effects of changes in external influences (such as economic or policy) on the rate of US drug approvals. Here, a novel approach, termed the Chronological Hurst Exponent (CHE), is proposed, which…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-01 Iraj Daizadeh

The aim of this paper is to study the long-term consequence on longevity of a mortality shock. We adopt an historical and modeling approach to study how the population evolution following a mortality shock such as the COVID-19 pandemic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 Nicole El Karoui , Kaouther Hadji , Sarah Kaakai