English

Fear and Volatility in Digital Assets

Statistical Finance 2020-10-30 v1

Abstract

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to the model alongside Google Trends with markets responding often several hours later. The code and datasets used in this paper can be found at https://github.com/Globe-Research/bitfear.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2010.15611,
  title  = {Fear and Volatility in Digital Assets},
  author = {Faizaan Pervaiz and Christopher Goh and Ashley Pennington and Samuel Holt and James West and Shaun Ng},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2010.15611},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

9 pages, 3 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-23T19:44:46.779Z