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Based on the cryptocurrency market dynamics, this study presents a general methodology for analyzing evolving correlation structures in complex systems using the $q$-dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient \rho(q,s). By extending…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-29 Marcin Wątorek , Marija Bezbradica , Martin Crane , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

This paper offers a thorough examination of the univariate predictability in cryptocurrency time-series. By exploiting a combination of complexity measure and model predictions we explore the cryptocurrencies time-series forecasting task…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Francesco Puoti , Fabrizio Pittorino , Manuel Roveri

The year 2017 saw the rise and fall of the crypto-currency market, followed by high variability in the price of all crypto-currencies. In this work, we study the abrupt transition in crypto-currency residuals, which is associated with the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-11 Chengyi Tu , Paolo DOdorico , Samir Suweis

This study presents an innovative approach for predicting cryptocurrency time series, specifically focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin. The methodology integrates the use of technical indicators, a Performer neural network, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-07 Mohammad Ali Labbaf Khaniki , Mohammad Manthouri

We investigate the mechanisms behind the quasi-periodic outbursts on the Covid-19 epidemics. Data for France and Germany show that the patterns of outbursts exhibit a qualitative change in early 2022, which appears in a change in their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-04 Michel Peyrard

This study employs an event study methodology to investigate the market impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) classification of crypto assets as securities. It explores how SEC interventions influence asset returns…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-04 Aman Saggu , Lennart Ante , Kaja Kopiec

This paper describes limiting behaviour of tail empirical process associated with long memory stochastic volatility models. We show that such process has dichotomous behaviour, according to an interplay between a Hurst parameter and a tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-23 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

The ongoing COVID-19 shocked financial markets globally, including China's crude oil future market, which is the third most traded crude oil futures after WTI and Brent. As China's first crude oil futures accessible to foreign investors,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-11 Shao Ying-Hui , Liu Ying-Lin , Yang Yan-Hong

It is empirically established that order flow in the financial markets is positively auto-correlated and can serve as an example of a social system with long-range memory. Nevertheless, widely used long-range memory estimators give varying…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-02 Vygintas Gontis

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Junjie Hu , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Weiyu Kuo

People's privacy sentiments influence changes in legislation as well as technology design and use. While single-point-in-time investigations of privacy sentiment offer useful insight, study of people's privacy sentiments over time is also…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Angelica Goetzen , Samuel Dooley , Elissa M. Redmiles

In Gatheral et al. 2018, first posted in 2014, volatility is characterized by fractional behavior with a Hurst exponent $H < 0.5$, challenging traditional views of volatility dynamics. Gatheral et al. demonstrated this using realized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-06 Saad Mouti

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Ayush Singh , Anshu K. Jha , Amit N. Kumar

When the COVID-19 pandemic hit, much of life moved online. Platforms of all types reported surges of activity, and people remarked on the various important functions that online platforms suddenly fulfilled. However, researchers lack a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Veniamin Veselovsky , Ashton Anderson

While understanding of periodic recurrent waves of Covid-19 epidemics would aid to combat the pandemics, quantitative analysis of data over a two years period from the outbreak, is lacking. The complexity of Covid-19 recurrent waves is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-09 Gaetano Campi , Antonio Bianconi

Intervention policies against COVID-19 have caused large-scale disruptions globally, and led to a series of pattern changes in the power system operation. Analyzing these pandemic-induced patterns is imperative to identify the potential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Guangchun Ruan , Zekuan Yu , Shutong Pu , Songtao Zhou , Haiwang Zhong , Le Xie , Qing Xia , Chongqing Kang

Bitcoin has attracted attention from different market participants due to unpredictable price patterns. Sometimes, the price has exhibited big jumps. Bitcoin prices have also had extreme, unexpected crashes. We test the predictive power of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-15 Andrés García-Medina , Toan Luu Duc Huynh3

We study the stochastic structure of cryptocurrency rates of returns as compared to stock returns by focusing on the associated cross-sectional distributions. We build two datasets. The first comprises forty-six major cryptocurrencies, and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-10 Emanuele Citera , Francesco De Pretis

As the first crisis faced by Crypto-assets, Covid-19 updated the debate about their safehaven properties. Our paper tries to analyze the safe-haven properties of Crypto-assets and Gold for European assets. We find that Gold has not been…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-23 Alhonita Yatie

Energy markets and the associated energy futures markets play a crucial role in global economies. We investigate the statistical properties of the recurrence intervals of daily volatility time series of four NYMEX energy futures, which are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-31 Wen-Jie Xie , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou
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