Filtering amplitude dependence of correlation dynamics in complex systems: application to the cryptocurrency market
Abstract
Based on the cryptocurrency market dynamics, this study presents a general methodology for analyzing evolving correlation structures in complex systems using the -dependent detrended cross-correlation coefficient \rho(q,s). By extending traditional metrics, this approach captures correlations at varying fluctuation amplitudes and time scales. The method employs -dependent minimum spanning trees (MSTs) to visualize evolving network structures. Using minute-by-minute exchange rate data for 140 cryptocurrencies on Binance (Jan 2021-Oct 2024), a rolling window analysis reveals significant shifts in MSTs, notably around April 2022 during the Terra/Luna crash. Initially centralized around Bitcoin (BTC), the network later decentralized, with Ethereum (ETH) and others gaining prominence. Spectral analysis confirms BTC's declining dominance and increased diversification among assets. A key finding is that medium-scale fluctuations exhibit stronger correlations than large-scale ones, with MSTs based on the latter being more decentralized. Properly exploiting such facts may offer the possibility of a more flexible optimal portfolio construction. Distance metrics highlight that major disruptions amplify correlation differences, leading to fully decentralized structures during crashes. These results demonstrate MSTs' effectiveness in uncovering fluctuation-dependent correlations, with potential applications beyond finance, including biology, social and other complex systems.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2509.18820,
title = {Filtering amplitude dependence of correlation dynamics in complex systems: application to the cryptocurrency market},
author = {Marcin Wątorek and Marija Bezbradica and Martin Crane and Jarosław Kwapień and Stanisław Drożdż},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2509.18820},
year = {2025}
}