English

Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes

Statistical Finance 2024-05-10 v1

Abstract

This paper identifies the cryptocurrency market crashes and analyses its dynamics using the complex network. We identify three distinct crashes during 2017-20, and the analysis is carried out by dividing the time series into pre-crash, crash, and post-crash periods. Partial correlation based complex network analysis is carried out to study the crashes. Degree density (ρD\rho_D), average path length (lˉ\bar{l}), and average clustering coefficient (cc\overline{cc}) are estimated from these networks. We find that both ρD\rho_D and cc\overline{cc} are smallest during the pre-crash period, and spike during the crash suggesting the network is dense during a crash. Although ρD\rho_D and cc\overline{cc} decrease in the post-crash period, they remain higher than pre-crash levels for the 2017-18 and 2018-19 crashes suggesting a market attempt to return to normalcy. We get lˉ\bar{l} is minimal during the crash period, suggesting a rapid flow of information. A dense network and rapid information flow suggest that during a crash uninformed synchronized panic sell-off happens. However, during the 2019-20 crash, the values of ρD\rho_D, cc\overline{cc}, and lˉ\bar{l} did not vary significantly, indicating minimal change in dynamics compared to other crashes. The findings of this study may guide investors in making decisions during market crashes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.05642,
  title  = {Complex network analysis of cryptocurrency market during crashes},
  author = {Kundan Mukhia and Anish Rai and SR Luwang and Md Nurujjaman and Sushovan Majhi and Chittaranjan Hens},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.05642},
  year   = {2024}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:21:52.905Z