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As the pioneer of blockchain technology, Bitcoin is the most popular cryptocurrency to date. Given its dramatic price spikes (and crashes) along with the never-ending news from SEC regulations to security breaches, there seems to be a lack…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-04 Anthony Luo , Dianxiang Xu

We use the database leak of Mt. Gox exchange to analyze the dynamics of the price of bitcoin from June 2011 to November 2013. This gives us a rare opportunity to study an emerging retail-focused, highly speculative and unregulated market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-27 Olivier Scaillet , Adrien Treccani , Christopher Trevisan

Cryptocurrencies have become a popular and widely researched topic of interest in recent years for investors and scholars. In order to make informed investment decisions, it is essential to comprehend the factors that impact cryptocurrency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Abdulrezzak Zekiye , Semih Utku , Fadi Amroush , Oznur Ozkasap

The Mike-Farmer (MF) model was constructed empirically based on the continuous double auction mechanism in an order-driven market, which can successfully reproduce the cubic law of returns and the diffusive behavior of stock prices at the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-27 Gao-Feng Gu , Wei-Xing Zhou

This paper analyzes the intersection of presidential authority and cryptocurrency markets during Donald J. Trump's second term (2025-2029). We examine developments from 2024 through October 2025, focusing on how executive influence, family…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-04 Habib Badawi

In this paper, we present a measure of time irreversibility using trend pattern statistics. We define the irreversibility index as the Kullback-Leibler divergence between the distribution of uptrends subsequences (increasing trends) and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-18 Jessica Morales Herrera , Raúl Salgado-García

This paper is the first of a series of short articles that explore the efficiency of major cryptocurrency markets. A number of statistical tests and properties of statistical distributions will be used to assess if cryptocurrency markets…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-01 Eugene Tartakovsky , Ksenia Plesovskikh , Anastasiia Sarmakeeva , Alexander Bibik

The Ethereum blockchain and its ERC20 token standard have revolutionized the landscape of digital assets and decentralized applications. ERC20 tokens developed on the Ethereum blockchain have gained significant attention since their…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-07-28 Moturi Pradeep , Uday Kumar Reddy Dyapa , Sarika Jalan , Priodyuti Pradhan

Cryptocurrencies have become a trendy topic recently, primarily due to their disruptive potential and reports of unprecedented returns. In addition, academics increasingly acknowledge the predictive power of Social Media in many fields and,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-04 Federico D'Amario , Milos Ciganovic

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

This paper investigates the return-volatility asymmetry of Bitcoin. We find that the cross correlations between return and volatility (squared return) are mostly insignificant on a daily level. In the high-frequency region, we find thata…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-17 T. Takaishi

The concept of quantum tokens dates back alongside quantum cryptography to Stephen Wiesner's seminal work in 1983[1]. Already this initial work proposes society-relevant applications such as secure quantum banknotes, which can be exchanged…

The global pandemic caused by COVID-19 affects our lives in all aspects. As of September 11, more than 28 million people have tested positive for COVID-19 infection, and more than 911,000 people have lost their lives in this virus battle.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Yuqi Meng , Qiancheng Sun , Suning Hong , Ying Zhao , Zhixiang Li

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

In this paper, the cross-correlations of cryptocurrency returns are analysed. The paper examines one years worth of data for 146 cryptocurrencies from the period January 1 2019 to December 31 2019. The cross-correlations of these returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 J. Gavin , M. Crane

This paper studies the effects of unexpected changes in US monetary policy on digital asset returns. We use event study regressions and find that monetary policy surprises negatively affect BTC and ETH, the two largest digital assets, but…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Antzelos Kyriazis , Iason Ofeidis , Georgios Palaiokrassas , Leandros Tassiulas

This study aimed to analyze the time series behavior of the Southern Oscillation Index through techniques using Fast Fourier Transform, computing the autocorrelation function, and the calculation of the Hurst coefficient. The methodology of…

In late 2019, we witnessed the apparition of the covid-19 virus. The virus appeared first in Wuhan, and due to people travel was spread worldwide. Exponential spread as well as high mortality rates, the two characteristics of the SARS-CoV-2…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Maha Filali Rotbi , Saad Motahhir , Abdelaziz El Ghzizal

S&P 500 index data sampled at one-minute intervals over the course of 11.5 years (January 1989- May 2000) is analyzed, and in particular the Hurst parameter over segments of stationarity (the time period over which the Hurst parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor , Ronnie Sircar

We quantify Non Fungible Token (NFT) rarity and investigate how it impacts market behaviour by analysing a dataset of 3.7M transactions collected between January 2018 and June 2022, involving 1.4M NFTs distributed across 410 collections.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Amin Mekacher , Alberto Bracci , Matthieu Nadini , Mauro Martino , Laura Alessandretti , Luca Maria Aiello , Andrea Baronchelli