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We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…
We study estimation and testing in the Poisson regression model with noisy high dimensional covariates, which has wide applications in analyzing noisy big data. Correcting for the estimation bias due to the covariate noise leads to a…
It was recently proved that any strictly stationary stochastic process can be viewed as an autoregressive process of order one with coloured noise. Furthermore, it was proved that, using this characterisation, one can define closed form…
A parameter estimation problem is considered for a one-dimensional stochastic wave equation driven by additive space-time Gaussian white noise. The estimator is of spectral type and utilizes a finite number of the spatial Fourier…
Diffusion models have become fundamental tools for modeling data distributions in machine learning. Despite their success, these models face challenges when generating data with extreme brightness values, as evidenced by limitations…
We consider stochastic dynamics of a particle on a plane in presence of two noises and a confining parabolic potential - an analog of the experimentally-relevant Brownian Gyrator (BG) model. In contrast to the standard BG model, we suppose…
This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…
In this paper we are interested in the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of the vector parameter of an autoregressive process of order $p$ with regular stationary Gaussian noise. We exhibit the large sample asymptotical properties of the…
This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…
In this article, we establish a probabilistic representation for the second-order moment of the solution of stochastic heat equation in $[0,1] \times \bR^d$, with multiplicative noise, which is fractional in time and colored in space. This…
We consider high-frequency sampled continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models driven by finite-variance zero-mean L\'evy processes. An L^2-consistent estimator for the increments of the driving L\'evy process without order…
Gaussian process regression in its most simplified form assumes normal homoscedastic noise and utilizes analytically tractable mean and covariance functions of predictive posterior distribution using Gaussian conditioning. Its…
We consider a simple model of a stochastic heat engine, which consists of a single Brownian particle moving in a one-dimensional periodically breathing harmonic potential. Overdamped limit is assumed. Expressions of second moments…
When two resonantly interacting modes are in contact with a thermostat, their statistics is exactly Gaussian and the modes are statistically independent despite strong interaction. Considering noise-driven system, we show that when one mode…
In this paper, instead of the usual Gaussian noise assumption, $t$-distribution noise is assumed. A Maximum Likelihood Estimator using the most recent N measurements is proposed for the Auto-Regressive-Moving-Average with eXogenous input…
We derive the ultimate bounds on the performance of nonlinear measurement schemes in the presence of noise. In particular, we investigate the precision of the second-order estimation scheme in the presence of the two most detrimental types…
Weak identification arises in many statistical problems when key variables exhibit weak correlations-for example, when instrumental variables correlate weakly with treatment, or when proxy variables correlate weakly with unmeasured…
In this paper, we derive the Onsager--Machlup functional for a second-order Newton-type stochastic system driven by time-dependent fractional noise, \[ X_t'' = f_t(X_t, X_t') + \sigma_t \,\xi_t^{H}, \] where \( H \in (1/4,1) \). The…
We propose an estimator for the singular vectors of high-dimensional low-rank matrices corrupted by additive subgaussian noise, where the noise matrix is allowed to have dependence within rows and heteroskedasticity between them. We prove…
We present a simulation-based inference approach for two-stage estimators, focusing on extremum estimators in the second stage. We accommodate a broad range of first-stage estimators, including extremum estimators, high-dimensional…