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This paper studies the residual empirical process of long- and short-memory time series regression models and establishes its uniform expansion under a general framework. The results are applied to the stochastic regression models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Ngai Hang Chan , Shiqing Ling

In this article, we consider the problem of estimating fractional processes based on noisy high-frequency data. Generalizing the idea of pre-averaging to a fractional setting, we exhibit a sequence of consistent estimators for the unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 David Chen , Yu Cheng , Carsten Chong , Pierre Gentine , Wangdong Jia , Bryce Monier , Shiyang Shen

The estimation of parameters in a linear model is considered under the hypothesis that the noise, with finite second order statistics, can be represented in a given deterministic basis by random coefficients. An extended underdetermined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-06 Piero Barone , Isabella Lari

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

Numerical methods for stochastic partial differential equations typically estimate moments of the solution from sampled paths. Instead, we shall directly target the deterministic equations satisfied by the first and second moments, as well…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-17 Kristin Kirchner

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-07 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , K. Lee

We consider shot-noise processes with an impulse response written in terms of the logarithm of the ratio between current and event time (instead of the usual absolute time difference). We study its finite-time properties as well as its weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Luisa Beghin , Lorenzo Cristofaro , Enrico Scalas

A prototype model of a stochastic one-variable system with a linear restoring force driven by two cross-correlated multiplicative and additive Gaussian white noises was considered earlier [S. I. Denisov et al., Phys. Rev. E 68, 046132…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-13 A. N. Vitrenko

We consider the linear stochastic heat equation on $\mathbb{R}^\ell$, driven by a Gaussian noise which is colored in time and space. The spatial covariance satisfies general assumptions and includes examples such as the Riesz kernel in any…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Jingyu Huang , Khoa Lê , David Nualart

In present paper we prove an existence and give a moments estimate for the local time of Gaussian integrators. Every Gaussian integrator is associated with a continuous linear operator in the space of square integrable functions via white…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Olga Izyumtseva

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

In this paper we construct a framework for doing statistical inference for discretely observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the driving noise has 'memory'. Classical SDE models for inference assume the driving noise to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Martin Lysy , Natesh S. Pillai

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Dave Zachariah , Nafiseh Shariati , Mats Bengtsson , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

Uncertainty quantification is a critical aspect of machine learning models, providing important insights into the reliability of predictions and aiding the decision-making process in real-world applications. This paper proposes a novel way…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Yusuf Sale , Paul Hofman , Lisa Wimmer , Eyke Hüllermeier , Thomas Nagler

We consider random coefficient autoregressive models of infinite order (AR($\infty$)) under the assumption of non-negativity of the coefficients. We develop novel methods yielding sufficient or necessary conditions for finiteness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Pascal Maillard , Olivier Wintenberger

Likelihood-based estimation methods involve the normalising constant of the model distributions, expressed as a function of the parameter. However in many problems this function is not easily available, and then less efficient but more…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Silvia Columbu , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio , A. Philip Dawid

We propose a contrast-based estimation method for Gaussian processes with time-inhomogeneous drifts, observed under high-frequency sampling. The process is modeled as the sum of a deterministic drift function and a stationary Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Yasutaka Shimizu

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng