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We investigate the nonparametric bivariate additive regression estimation in the random design and long-memory errors and construct adaptive thresholding estimators based on wavelet series. The proposed approach achieves asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Rida Benhaddou , Qing Liu

We give a new example of a measure-valued process without a density, which arises from a stochastic partial differential equation with a multiplicative noise term. This process has some unusual properties. We work with the heat equation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 Carl Mueller , Roger Tribe

We propose a second-order (Hessian or Hessian-free) based optimization method for variational inference inspired by Gaussian backpropagation, and argue that quasi-Newton optimization can be developed as well. This is accomplished by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-30 Kai Fan , Ziteng Wang , Jeff Beck , James Kwok , Katherine Heller

Gravitational self-force theory is the primary way of modelling extreme-mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs). One difficulty that appears in second-order self-force calculations is the strong divergence at the worldline of the small object, which…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-02-15 Samuel D. Upton

In this paper we introduce a modified version of a gaussian standard first-order autoregressive process where we allow for a dependence structure between the state variable $Y_{t-1}$ and the next innovation $\xi_t$. We call this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

We introduce a Gaussian measure formally preserved by the 2-dimensional Primitive Equations driven by additive Gaussian noise. Under such measure the stochastic equations under consideration are singular: we propose a solution theory based…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-13 Francesco Grotto , Umberto Pappalettera

Stationary points embedded in the derivatives are often critical for a model to be interpretable and may be considered as key features of interest in many applications. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian model to efficiently infer the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Cheng-Han Yu , Meng Li , Colin Noe , Simon Fischer-Baum , Marina Vannucci

Inertial particles in 2D driven by a Gaussian white noise forcing are considered. For two examples of the forcing (compressible and incompressible) upper and lower bounds are found for the mean number of caustics as a function of Stokes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-07-05 Leonid Piterbarg

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

We present a distributed (non-Bayesian) learning algorithm for the problem of parameter estimation with Gaussian noise. The algorithm is expressed as explicit updates on the parameters of the Gaussian beliefs (i.e. means and precision). We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-08 Angelia Nedić , Alex Olshevsky , César A. Uribe

In this work, the issue of obtaining consistent parameter estimators for nonlinear regression models where the regressors are second-order modulus functions is explored. It is shown that consistent instrumental variable estimators can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Fredrik Ljungberg , Martin Enqvist

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

We consider the non-linear equation $T^{-1} u+\partial_tu-\partial_x^2\pi(u)=\xi$ driven by space-time white noise $\xi$, which is uniformly parabolic because we assume that $\pi'$ is bounded away from zero and infinity. Under the further…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-12-21 Felix Otto , Hendrik Weber

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Hanna Gruber , Moritz Jirak

We reconsider a nonparametric density model based on Gaussian processes. By augmenting the model with latent P\'olya--Gamma random variables and a latent marked Poisson process we obtain a new likelihood which is conjugate to the model's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Christian Donner , Manfred Opper

In the machine learning literature stochastic gradient descent has recently been widely discussed for its purported implicit regularization properties. Much of the theory, that attempts to clarify the role of noise in stochastic gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria

In many areas of science, complex phenomena are modeled by stochastic parametric simulators, often featuring high-dimensional parameter spaces and intractable likelihoods. In this context, performing Bayesian inference can be challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 François Rozet , Gilles Louppe

A lot is known about the H\"older regularity of stochastic processes, in particular in the case of Gaussian processes. Recently, a finer analysis of the local regularity of functions, termed 2-microlocal analysis, has been introduced in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-22 Erick Herbin , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the extreme value index in presence of random censoring for distributions in the Weibull domain of attraction. The methodologies introduced in [Worms (2014)], in the heavy-tailed case, are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Julien Worms , Rym Worms
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