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The relation between rainfall and water accumulated in reservoirs comprises nonlinear feedbacks. Here we show that they may generate alternative equilibrium regimes, one of high water-volume, the other of low water-volume. Reservoirs can be…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-24 Renato Mendes Coutinho , Paulo Inácio Prado , Roberto André Kraenkel

Markov community models have been applied to sessile organisms because such models facilitate estimation of transition probabilities by tracking species occupancy at many fixed observation points over multiple periods of time. Estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-12 Keiichi Fukaya , J. Andrew Royle , Takehiro Okuda , Masahiro Nakaoka , Takashi Noda

In recent years, numerous advances have been made in understanding how epidemic dynamics is affected by changes in individual behaviours. We propose an SIS-based compartmental model to tackle the simultaneous and coupled evolution of an…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-04 Giulia de Meijere , Hugo Martin

We study a class of evolution models, where the breeding process involves an arbitrary exchangeable process, allowing for mutations to appear. The population size $n$ is fixed, hence after breeding, selection is applied. Individuals are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniela Bertacchi , Juri Lember , Fabio Zucca

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

Based on previous work done in this field, we build a dynamical system that describes changes in drug addiction in an isolated population when two addictive substances are available simultaneously. We then use our model to investigate…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-16 Stephen Colegate , Changrui Liu

We study the long-time dynamics in non-Markovian single-population stochastic models, where one or more reactions are modelled as a stochastic process with a fat-tailed non-exponential distribution of waiting times, mimicking long-term…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-05 Ohad Vilk , Michael Assaf

We study the evolution of behavioral rules in environments with multiple contexts. Agents copy rules used by better-performing peers in the same context and apply them across contexts. Multiple contexts turn discrete-time imitation dynamics…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Enrique Urbano Arellano , Xinyang Wang

Public opinion is often affected by the presence of committed groups of individuals dedicated to competing points of view. Using a model of pairwise social influence, we study how the presence of such groups within social networks affects…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-24 J. Xie , J. Emenheiser , M. Kirby , S. Sreenivasan , B. K. Szymanski , G. Korniss

We study a model for opinion formation which incorporates three basic ingredients for the evolution of the opinion held by an individual: imitation, influence of fashion and randomness. We show that in the absence of fashion, the model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Claudio J. Tessone , Raul Toral

Recently, a mathematical model describing the illicit drug consumption in a population consisting of drug users and non-users has been proposed. The model describes the dynamics of non-users, experimental users, recreational users, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Jean-Marc Ginoux , Roomila Naeck , Yusra Bibi Ruhomally , Muhammad Zaid Dauhoo , Matjaž Perc

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman

Motivated with various responses of world governments to COVID-19, here we develop a toy model of the dependence epidemics spreading on the availability of tests for disease. Our model, that we call SUDR+K, is based on usual SIR model, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Vinko Zlatić , Irena Barjašić , Andrea Kadović , Hrvoje Štefančić , Andrea Gabrielli

Mover-stayer models are used in social sciences and economics to model heterogeneous population dynamics in which some individuals never experience the event of interest ("stayers"), while others transition between states over time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Eni Musta , Martina Vittorietti

At a continuous transition into a nonunique absorbing state, particle systems may exhibit nonuniversal critical behavior, in apparent violation of hyperscaling. We propose a generalized scaling theory for dynamic critical behavior at a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 J. F. F. Mendes , Ronald Dickman , Malte Henkel , M. Ceu Marques

We introduce an analytical model to study the evolution towards equilibrium in spatial games, with `memory-aware' agents, i.e., agents that accumulate their payoff over time. In particular, we focus our attention on the spatial Prisoner's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-23 Marco Alberto Javarone

Human mobility and activity patterns mediate contagion on many levels, including the spatial spread of infectious diseases, diffusion of rumors, and emergence of consensus. These patterns however are often dominated by specific locations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-05 Duygu Balcan , Alessandro Vespignani

We propose a new model in order to study behaviors of self-organized system such as a group of animals. We assume that the individuals have two degrees of freedom corresponding one to their internal state and the other to their external…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-10-23 P. The Nguyen , V. Thanh Ngo , H. T. Diep

Universality in the behavior of complex systems often reveals itself in the form of scale-invariant distributions that are essentially independent of the details of the microscopic dynamics. A representative paradigm of complex behavior in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Malescio , N. V. Dokholyan , S. V. Buldyrev , H. Eugene Stanley

We consider the dynamics of a model introduced recently by Bialas, Burda and Johnston. At equilibrium the model exhibits a transition between a fluid and a condensed phase. For long evolution times the dynamics of condensation possesses a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 J-M Drouffe , C Godreche , F Camia