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Performing numerical integration when the integrand itself cannot be evaluated point-wise is a challenging task that arises in statistical analysis, notably in Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions. Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-17 Lawrence Middleton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Pierre E. Jacob

The partial sum of the states of a Markov chain or more generally a Markov source is asymptotically normally distributed under suitable conditions. One of these conditions is that the variance is unbounded. A simple combinatorial…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Sara Kropf

We study infinite tree and ultrametric matrices, and their action on the boundary of the tree. For each tree matrix we show the existence of a symmetric random walk associated to it and we study its Green potential. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claude Dellacherie , Servet Martinez , Jaime San Martin

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) has transformed Bayesian model inference over the past three decades: mainly because of this, Bayesian inference is now a workhorse of applied scientists. Under general conditions, MCMC sampling converges…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-20 Ben Lambert , Aki Vehtari

The Markov chain random field (MCRF) model/theory provides a non-linear spatial Bayesian updating solution at the neighborhood nearest data level for simulating categorical spatial variables. In the MCRF solution, the spatial dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-16 Weidong Li , Chuanrong Zhang

Let $G$ be a finite tree with root $r$ and associate to the internal vertices of $G$ a collection of transition probabilities for a simple nondegenerate Markov chain. Embedd $G$ into a graph $G^\prime$ constructed by gluing finite linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Victor de la Pena , Henryk Gzyl , Patrick McDonald

We study an irreducible Markov chain on the category of finite abelian $p$-groups, whose stationary measure is the Cohen-Lenstra distribution. This Markov chain arises when one studies the cokernel of a random matrix $M$, after conditioning…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Nikita Lvov

In this paper the class of mixed renewal processes (MRPs for short) with mixing parameter a random vector from \cite{lm6z3} (enlarging Huang's \cite{hu} original class) is replaced by the strictly more comprising class of all extended MRPs…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-20 N. D. Macheras , S. M. Tzaninis

In this paper we develop the elements of the theory of algorithmic randomness in continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our main contribution is a rigorous, useful notion of what it means for an individual trajectory of a CTMC to be random.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Xiang Huang , Jack H. Lutz , Neil Lutz , Andrei N. Migunov

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

This paper presents a focused review of Markov random fields (MRFs)--commonly used probabilistic representations of spatial dependence in discrete spatial domains--for categorical data, with an emphasis on models for binary-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 J. Brandon Carter , Catherine A. Calder

Parametric Interval Markov Chains (pIMCs) are a specification formalism that extend Markov Chains (MCs) and Interval Markov Chains (IMCs) by taking into account imprecision in the transition probability values: transitions in pIMCs are…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-06-02 Anicet Bart , Benoit Delahaye , Didier Lime , Eric Monfroy , Charlotte Truchet

By introducing a key combinatorial structure for words produced by a Variable Length Markov Chain (VLMC), the longest internal suffix, precise characterizations of existence and uniqueness of a stationary probability measure for a VLMC…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Peggy Cénac , Brigitte Chauvin , Frédéric Paccaut , Nicolas Pouyanne

We define the beta diffusion tree, a random tree structure with a set of leaves that defines a collection of overlapping subsets of objects, known as a feature allocation. A generative process for the tree structure is defined in terms of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-06 Creighton Heaukulani , David A. Knowles , Zoubin Ghahramani

A labelled Markov decision process is a labelled Markov chain with nondeterminism, i.e., together with a strategy a labelled MDP induces a labelled Markov chain. The model is related to interval Markov chains. Motivated by applications of…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Stefan Kiefer , Qiyi Tang

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are simple and extremely powerful techniques to sample from almost arbitrary distributions. The flaw in practice is that it can take a large and/or unknown amount of time to converge to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-13 Xianghang Liu , Justin Domke

This paper is a variation on the uniform spanning tree theme. We use random spanning forests to solve the following problem: for a Markov process on a finite set of size $n$, find a probability law on the subsets of any given size $m \leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-01 Luca Avena , Alexandre Gaudillière

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have not been broadly adopted in Bayesian neural networks (BNNs). This paper initially reviews the main challenges in sampling from the parameter posterior of a neural network via MCMC. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Theodore Papamarkou , Jacob Hinkle , M. Todd Young , David Womble

We consider a general class of branching processes in discrete time, where particles have types belonging to a Polish space and reproduce independently according to their type. If the process is critical and the mean distribution of types…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Félix Foutel-Rodier

Clustering algorithms frequently require the number of clusters to be chosen in advance, but it is usually not clear how to do this. To tackle this challenge when clustering within sequential data, we present a method for estimating the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-29 Thomas van Vuren , Thomas Cronk , Jaron Sanders
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